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Global EV market goes K-shaped as the U.S. gets left behind

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All that doom and gloom about the state of the electric vehicle market? That’s just an American problem. The rest of the world can’t get enough EVs, according to a new report from the International Energy Agency.

EV sales surpassed 20 million units last year, capturing 25% of the global market. Growth was highest in China and market share in other regions has also been picking up pace. In Latin America, for example, sales grew by 75%. Meanwhile, sales in the U.S. are stagnant, with EVs hovering around 10% market share. 

The EV market has gone K-shaped, and automakers of all stripes — legacy and startup — had better pay attention.

Sales figures in the U.S. were held back last year by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which killed EV tax credits, along with policies that have prevented Chinese automakers from entering the market. 

For startups like Rivian and Lucid, which are heavily invested in the U.S. market, it certainly makes for a more challenging road ahead. Legacy automakers are somewhat insulated since they can lean on more profitable fossil fuel vehicles — at least in the short term. But without a solid EV strategy, they stand to lose more global market share as consumer tastes and expectations shift.

Elsewhere, Chinese automakers have been driving the upper leg of the K higher. The growth has been most apparent in China, where nearly 55% of new vehicles were electric. Affordability helps: more than two-thirds of EVs sold in the country were cheaper than the average fossil fuel car.

Chinese automakers also helped drive EV sales higher in Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Europe. More than half of all EVs sold in Southeast Asia were made by a Chinese company, for example, while Europe imported over half a million Chinese EVs.

The stunning growth of EVs in Southeast Asia and Latin America punctures one prevailing theory that electric cars would be too expensive for developing economies. EV prices have been on par with internal combustion vehicles for the last two years in Thailand. “Imports of affordable electric cars from China have brought down prices and driven up EV sales in many emerging markets in recent years,” the IEA report said.

That may not last forever, though.

Chinese automakers exported more than 25% more vehicles than were bought in foreign markets. Dealers outside of China might resist accepting more EVs until they can sell what they have on hand. Plus, countries might begin to chafe at the flood of inexpensive Chinese cars and institute tariffs.

Even if that happens, it would be foolish to count Chinese brands out. The Communist Party has invested significant sums to turn its automotive industry into a powerhouse. As a result, the country has enough manufacturing capacity to fulfill 65% of global demand. Thanks to state support, Chinese automakers could produce an outsized number of vehicles far longer than other companies can remain solvent.

In the long run, though, EVs promise to undercut fossil fuel vehicles, even without subsidies. As early as next year, battery electric vehicles will be cheaper to make than internal combustion vehicles, according to Gartner.

The Trump administration is trying to steer the U.S. market back toward fossil fuels, perhaps convinced that the domestic market is different from others, but it’s pushing into stiff headwinds. The market for fossil fuel passenger vehicles and light trucks peaked in 2017, according to BloombergNEF, and while hybrid and plug-in hybrid sales are rising, they’re not growing as quickly as pure EVs.

Perhaps the most cautionary tale comes not from an American automaker, but a Japanese one.

Honda, which recently killed three EV projects, has imperiled its future as a global car manufacturer. By pulling back on EVs, it will forgo crucial lessons that have helped companies like Tesla and BYD slash the cost of their vehicles. And because EVs are ideal platforms on which to build software-defined vehicles, Honda stands to miss out on the other trend that’s sweeping the industry, one that has also helped companies trim expenses.

In all, it paints a grim picture for legacy automakers that have dialed back EV ambitions.

Companies that don’t get their respective EV houses in order could lose out to competitors in the global market, sacrificing revenue that could keep them competitive for years to come.

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Planned Amazon data center could become the biggest climate polluter in the U.S.

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As part of a planned data center in Pecos County, Texas, Amazon is investing in an on-site power plant that could become the largest source of climate pollution in the United States, according to The New York Times.

The NYT says the plant would burn natural gas and is permitted to release 33 million tons of carbon dioxide per year — more than any other power plant in the U.S.

In a statement, an Amazon spokesperson confirmed that the data center will “be powered by new on-site generation that won’t raise electricity costs for Texas families.” (Data centers face growing political opposition for a number of reasons, including their effect on electricity costs.)

AI has already had a significant impact on Amazon’s carbon emissions, which it reported were up 16% last year — the wrong direction for a company that pledged to eliminate its carbon emissions by 2040. And that could get worse as Amazon and tech companies back the development of huge natural gas plants to support their power-hungry data centers.

The Amazon spokesperson said, “The world looks different now than when we co-founded the climate pledge,” while also claiming, “Our commitment hasn’t changed.”

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OpenAI acquires presentation startup NextSlide

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NextSlide recently announced that it’s joining OpenAI, with the presentation startup’s team members now working on ChatGPT.

The NextSlide website currently displays a note from founder Ahmed Beshry describing the startup’s product as one “that could turn prompts, notes, documents, or research into a polished, editable presentation.”

The ultimate goal, Beshry said, was “to make visual communication more accessible and help more people express their ideas clearly.” So by joining OpenAI, the team will “continue pursuing that same mission: building AI products that help people create, communicate, and turn their ideas into meaningful work.”

The financial terms of the deal were not disclosed. In a note on LinkedIn, Beshry said the announcement is coming “a few months late,” as the acquisition took place “earlier this year.”

Beshry was previously a co-founder at Caper AI, a smart cart/cashier-less checkout startup acquired by Instacart in 2021.

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X replaces ‘misaligned’ revenue sharing program with Original Content Rewards

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X, the social media platform now owned by Elon Musk’s SpaceX, is shaking up how it pays influencers and creators.

In announcing the change, the company said it will be winding down its existing Revenue Sharing program and replacing it with something called Original Content Rewards. X will stop accepting new Revenue Sharing participants, while existing participants will continue earning money through September 7.

Then, starting on September 8, they’ll be able to apply for the new program. Participants will still need to subscribe to one of X’s Premium tiers, and there will be qualifying thresholds for follower count (500 verified followers) and impressions (500,000 Home Timeline impressions from verified users in 90 days), but it sounds like the big change is the emphasis on originality. 

What counts as original content? X said it can include original reporting and analysis, photos and videos created by the poster, or memes and graphics they’ve designed themselves. Commentary also counts, but “if your content regularly incorporates material created by others, you’ll need to contribute meaningful original value for it to qualify under our original content guidelines.”

The company also included examples of posts that won’t count as original, such as those just copied over from another account, downloaded from one account and re-uploaded to your own, or reposting content “without meaningful transformation.”

This announcement follows repeated attempts by X to reform the Revenue Sharing program, for example reducing payments to aggregators and “clickbait” accounts in April. But these efforts have also prompted complaints from popular accounts profiting from the current system; Musk even reversed some of those changes (giving a creator’s local audience more weight when calculating payouts) after a backlash.

In a post about the new changes, X’s Allegra Jacchia wrote that the existing program “had reached a point where its incentives were misaligned.”

“Creators should be focused on bringing net new content to the platform instead of maximizing payouts,” she said. “We could have kept adding more rules and exceptions, but ultimately the better decision was to start fresh and build a program designed from day one to reward originality.”

Jacchia added that X be “continue refining the program, improving our models, and raising the bar over time.”

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