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What might the Edmonton Oilers roster look like 5 years from now?

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Suddenly, it’s summer 2031. In this reality, the Jetsons’ aerial vehicles are here, there’s a four-day work week and the Edmonton Oilers have finally won their sixth Stanley Cup.

What next?

Five seasons from now, Leon Draisaitl will be 35, just two years from free agency. Connor McDavid will be 34 and under a new deal, since he reached free agency in the summer of 2028. Older players like Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Zach Hyman, Mattias Ekholm and Frederik Andersen will likely be retired or in other NHL cities.

Here’s a look at what may come for the Oilers in the next five seasons.

The captain

The nature of McDavid’s value to the Oilers goes beyond wins and losses on the ice. The franchise value has skyrocketed during the McDavid years, and owner Daryl Katz has a significant interest in keeping the captain in Alberta. For McDavid, every interview he has ever done on free agency includes winning the Stanley Cup with the Oilers. The team’s success in the 2027 and 2028 playoffs will impact the decision, but the smart bet has the captain signing another deal with the Oilers after the conclusion of his current contract.

Leon Draisaitl

As mentioned above, he’ll still be playing under his current contract, but there’s evidence Draisaitl will age well. The big centre turns 31 in October, but last season his max foot speed was in the 92nd percentile, according to NHL Edge. He is one of two unicorns on the current team. Expect an Evgeni Malkin-level romp through his 30s.

Evan Bouchard

Evan Bouchard’s contract expires in the summer of 2029. If he continues to impact offence and five-on-five outscoring at his current pace, Bouchard will receive a substantial increase from his $10.5 million cap hit on the next contract. Bouchard is an easy player to project, as he plays 81 or 82 games per season (over the past five years) and is delivering some of the most impressive scoring campaigns for a modern defenceman (95 points in 2025-26). He’s in the 61st percentile in foot speed, and that will eventually impact his playing time, but Bouchard will be a productive player deep into his 30s. Even after his offence fades, Bouchard’s ability to move the puck out of the zone will have high value.

Aging veterans

Hyman will be 36 in the summer of 2028 when his deal expires. His utility and non-stop motor (87th percentile max speed) may still be on display, but the injuries will be more common, and the goals won’t come as often. The decline for Nugent-Hopkins (36 in the summer of 2029 when his contract ends) will continue as well, although it’s possible both men could be productive enough to remain in the league five years from now. Their presence on the Oilers roster may depend on how competitive the team will be during those seasons. Veterans often pursue Stanley Cup rings later in careers.

Defencemen are a different matter, as NHL teams value experience at the position heavily and are more forgiving in regard to lost foot speed at the position. Ekholm is 36, Connor Murphy is 33 and Jake Walman is 30. There’s a chance all three will still be playing in the NHL five years from now. Ekholm is especially aging like fine wine.

The younger roster players

I’ve written often over the last three summers about the importance of marbling youth onto the Oilers roster. A look at five years into the future brings home the point like a sledgehammer. The heart of the young cluster on this roster begins with Matt Savoie and Vasily Podkolzin. The talent Edmonton needs to step up includes Ike Howard, Devon Levi, Ty Emberson and Shakir Mukhamadullin.

Beyond that group, it’s tough to project any young players on to an NHL roster. A young prospect like Tommy Lafreniere, whose trajectory suggests an NHL future, will need to develop over the next two seasons in order to have a real chance. Two defensive prospects, Asher Barnett and Beau Akey, are building solid resumes that may involve significant minutes in important roles. Speed, coverage ability and puck-moving elan are all part of the package needed for the second pairing. Barnett and Akey are the best projectable defencemen in the system at this time.

Future acquisitions

The most difficult task in a projection five years into the distance involves outside additions. We know the Oilers won’t have a plethora of draft picks pushing for NHL work in 2031 unless something goes very wrong in the team’s annual push for a championship. Edmonton management could (and should) use offer sheets as often as possible, but trading high picks at every deadline makes that a difficult task.

All things considered, and keeping in mind the retention of McDavid being the primary goal for the Katz ownership, here’s a look at what the 2031-32 opening-night lineup might look like.

Forwards

Left Wing Centre Right Wing

Matt Savoie

Connor McDavid

David Pastrnak

Vasily Podkolzin

Leon Draisaitl

Ike Howard

Colton Dach

William Nicholl

Tommy Lafreniere

Trent Frederic

Rudolfs Berzkalns

Owen Michaels

In 2031-32, the Oilers will be able to fill most of the depth spots with players from the system. Lafreniere, William Nicholl, Rudolfs Berzkalns and Owen Michaels all have top-flight reputations for two-way play; all will be shy offensive types.

The chances the organization drafts a player between now and 2031 who can deliver on a skill line are not good. There’s so much luck involved in finding an impact scorer outside the top 20, and Edmonton won’t be choosing in that range until the mid-30s (if all goes well).

David Pastrnak is my choice for a free-agent addition. He’s aging well and has reeled off four electric 100-point seasons in a row. NHL teams are signing their best players earlier now, and to longer contracts, so free agency may well be the only way for the organization to find a talent worthy of playing on the McDavid line. Even if Bowman stopped trading his first-round selections today, the team is in a real spot of bother as it pertains to finding elite offensive talent for the future.

Defence and goaltending

Left Defence Goal Right Defence

S Mukhamadullin

Devon Levi

Evan Bouchard

Asher Barnett

Samuel Jonsson

Beau Akey

Damien Carfagna

Ty Emberson

The defence is more difficult to project, beyond Bouchard retaining his exceptional status. The Oilers are showing signs of being adept at finding college defencemen, and that is reflected here with Barnett and Damien Carfagna. It’s a stretch to place Mukhamadullin in the top pairing, but defencemen are easier to find, and Edmonton should be able to deal for a significant player after Ekholm falls off and exits the NHL. A deadline deal for an Ekholm type is most certainly in Bowman’s future.

Bottom line

Edmonton’s practice of trading first-round draft picks comes home to roost by 2031. Offer sheets can be sent, but teams will be aware of the practice and defend against such player raids. For the Oilers, the bottom will be closer than the top by the early 2030s, and at that point trading off McDavid and Draisaitl may not only be prudent, it may also be necessary.

A need for a rebuild will be in evidence by 2031.

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Same start but different outlook at Rangers era begins for McInnes

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Former Rangers striker Steven Thompson agreed with McInnes that there is no need to panic.

“It’s not the result Rangers wanted, but it is a point away from home at a difficult venue,” he said on BBC Radio Scotland. “Other teams will come here and find it very difficult.

“At this point in the season, there’s no knee-jerk [reaction] or anything here.

“It’s not what McInnes wants, but it’s the first game of the season. There will be time to judge once he gets the players he wants and once he gets more work done on the training ground.

“He will have learned a lot from his players tonight.”

On a night where Pandur, centre-back Ben Godfrey and former Hearts duo Cammy Devlin and Lawrence Shankland all made their debuts from the start, it was a glimpse into what this new-look Rangers side might look like under McInnes.

Summer signings Dan Neil and Ross McCrorie also came on as substitutes and McInnes made it clear there will be further additions in the weeks to come.

However, former Rangers man Andy Halliday saw what he believes to have been flaws in McInnes’ tactical set-up.

“No matter how many defenders you play with, the main fundamental is being compact, and I thought Rangers were the furthest thing from compact,” he said on Sportsound.

“All the best individuals, other than Thelo Aasgaard, were Dundee United players.

“Rangers are a work in progress, I think they’ll still make additions to try and improve, but it certainly wasn’t the start they were looking for.”

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FIFA consider U-turn on World Cup private investment plans as Infantino fights for his future

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FIFA has held top-level discussions in the past 24 hours about how Gianni Infantino can backtrack on his plot to sell a stake in its commercial and event operations while seeking to hold down his position as president.

Infantino’s secret plan has attracted major opposition from UEFA, CONCACAF and Asia, with the European confederation saying all 55 of its members would boycott FIFA competitions, including World Cups, if the proposal remains on the table.

FIFA responded with a statement at 4.12am BST on Friday (11.12pm ET Thursday), in which it insisted “nobody is selling football” and that while it “acknowledges and respects feedback and concern aired in public”, it would press on with the proposals, adding that it “reaffirms its commitment to an open and democratic consultation.”

But no sooner had it done that when the Asian federation (AFC) followed up with a statement saying it stood in solidarity with UEFA and Concacaf, the North and Central American confederation.

Infantino was then dealt two seismic internal blows.

First his adviser Carlos Cordeiro quit his role, eviscerating the plan in a statement, which said it was “a bad deal for FIFA’s Member Associations, a bad deal for football, and a bad deal for the long-term future of the game.”

Then FIFA’s chief operating officer Kevin Lamour told The Associated Press that staff had been “deceived” by Infantino and that he would be able to sleep well by speaking out on the matter, even if it meant losing his job.

“It is the project of one person,” Lamour said. “Not only must this project not go ahead … but the time has now come for football political leaders to ask themselves the right questions and make the right decisions.”

Those developments have dragged Infantino into a corner and FIFA has been giving serious consideration to abandoning or watering down the project, leaving many within the organization to believe it is when, rather than if, the cord will be cut.

As of Friday night, Joshua Kushner’s venture capital firm Thrive had not pulled out of the deal, but the matter was with FIFA’s leadership as it weighed whether to double down once again or pull the plug.

Kushner has been at the centre of Infantino’s plans (Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images)

CONMEBOL, South America’s football confederation, issued a statement late on Friday which did not reject the plans but said that financial and commercial decisions “must always serve the interests of football and never take precedence over its essence.”

The three federations which went on record against FIFA’s plan consist of 137 of the 211 FIFA member associations. FIFA had said it would need a majority of its 211 member associations and approval from its 37-strong FIFA Council — which includes Infantino and the eight FIFA vice presidents — in order for the proposal to advance.

World football’s governing body has received significant backlash since announcing on Tuesday that it wanted to set up a new private entity — FIFA Forward Enterprises (FFE) — which would run its main events, such as the World Cups and Club World Cups, and that it was looking to sell a 21 per cent minority stake in FFE to outside investors.

That sale would aim to bring in $4.2billion (£3.2bn), which FIFA said could be immediately released to its 211 member associations as part of a new funding stream called the FIFA Fast-Forward Programme (FFFP).

Under the plan, FIFA’s total development funding would top $10bn over the next four years. FIFA confirmed that if member associations are opposed to the FFE plan but the proposal passes, those opposed will still receive $20million (£14.9m) each in the 2027-30 cycle (followed by $22m in 2031-34 and $24m in 2035-38), irrespective of whether any stake in FFE is sold to private investors.

However, if that member association agrees to the FFE proposal, it will receive $40million in 2027-30, with the subsequent payments to remain the same.

The UEFA logo

UEFA’s 55 members — which include England, Spain, France and Germany — agreed to boycott FIFA tournaments while the FFE proposal existed (Harold Cunningham / AFP via Getty Images)

In a letter sent to associations, which The Athletic has seen, FIFA president Infantino says a decision on the proposal must be made by September 19 in order for any future funds to be available from January 1.

The Athletic reported that Infantino’s future leadership of FIFA was questioned during the meetings of UEFA and Concacaf on Thursday. Infantino has been FIFA president since succeeding Sepp Blatter in February 2016, and had been expected to stand unopposed in the next election in March 2027.

“My clear impression at the moment is that he has lost a great deal of trust,” Lise Klaveness, the president of the Norwegian Football Federation, told VG. “We didn’t vote for him last time, and we’ve been sceptical about this. There are many good things about FIFA, but if you take a lax approach to governance principles and rules, you quickly lose trust.”

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The Bounce: The player disempowerment era. Plus: NBA poster nostalgia

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The Bounce Newsletter :basketball: | This is The Athletic’s daily NBA newsletter. Sign up here to receive The Bounce directly in your inbox.

On this date in 2007, Kevin Garnett was traded from the Minnesota Timberwolves to the Boston Celtics. KG had to be convinced to be traded from Minnesota, and it wasn’t until the Celtics secured Ray Allen in a deal that KG finally agreed. The Wolves received Al Jefferson, Sebastian Telfair, Ryan Gomes, Gerald Green, Theo Ratliff and two first-round picks that became Jonny Flynn and Wayne Ellington. (This is actually a perfect trade for a future edition of Tradeback Tuesday later this summer. Maybe even next week …)


End of an Era

Gone are the days of player empowerment

When LeBron James held a television special with ESPN in 2010 to announce he was taking his talents to South Beach, a good portion of the NBA-watching collective seemed to be very angry.

I will always vividly remember that night: I was working for ESPN, running a chat on the website. It was called Daily Dime Live, and we were essentially live-watching “The Decision” together.

The buildup was obviously massive, but I’ll never forget the surge of people who joined the chat after LeBron publicly chose Miami. At one point, there were over 300,000 people in the chat, which is an unreal number of users to have in one spot. The software could barely hold it together. But what I saw was a lot of vitriol.

A year later, the NBA was in a lockout, which is usually what happens when there’s a major labor-dynamic shift amid the negotiation of a new collective bargaining agreement.

For the next 13 years, NBA players were incredibly empowered to steer their own ship. Athletes from other sports marveled at how much power NBA players held over their own careers while also making more guaranteed money than most.

There are seemingly countless examples of players from 2010 to 2023 finding their way to wherever they wanted, whilst also getting that big-time pay. Carmelo Anthony found his way to New York in a trade. Kevin Durant has taken his talents to multiple teams via free agency. Jimmy Butler ended up on the Heat when the team had no cap space and not much to deal for him. Anthony Davis managed to get traded to the Lakers when he wanted to.

Fast forward to this current CBA with the second apron acting as an unofficial hard cap, and while players are still getting paid (they’re entitled to half of the Basketball Related Income, per the CBA), we’re seeing less and less control over where they end up.

Jaylen Brown was not looking to be moved from the Boston Celtics at all. Damian Lillard never wanted to get traded to the Milwaukee Bucks. Anthony Davis never tried to get himself moved to the Washington Wizards. LaMelo Ball had no control over being moved to the Minnesota Timberwolves, nor did he ever truly request out of Charlotte (especially not after things were turned around midseason).

Even with Giannis Antetokounmpo making it to Miami, player empowerment doesn’t feel like a thing anymore. The players union is lamenting the deal it took with the owners. There is a mutual opt-out date in October 2028, and from there, things could get pretty gnarly. Owners love the way the current CBA is working. We know because Adam Silver has stated as much.

The owners will want to grab even more power in the next CBA negotiations. We know that because that’s how ownership and management works. While player empowerment was being celebrated by so many parts of the sports world, the owners were patiently chipping away at the hold star players had over the NBA. Eventually, they seemed to cut down on the majority of leverage players had in choosing where they’ll be.

In today’s NBA, it’s above finding a spot that will give you that next contract extension (Butler with the Warriors, KD with the Rockets and maybe Kawhi Leonard with Toronto). And you don’t fully get to figure out if that’s where you want to be next. You still get your money if you’re a star, but you’re trying to be happy with the destination, rather than pick the perfect setup.

I don’t know if the players union can ever find that power again. It’ll be up to the agents to help figure out how to exploit the next system for their clients. That’s usually the case anyway. But for now, players are at the mercy of a lot of these teams. That’s probably fine, as long as they’re getting paid.


The Last 24

💰 He returns. Draymond Green just re-signed with the Warriors after they missed out on LeBron. He’s back on a one-year, $27.7 million deal.

🎥 Last(est) Dance? ESPN and LeBron are nearing a deal on a docuseries. He could have his own “The Last Dance.”

🏀 Keep hooping. The key to happiness at 81 years old is pretty simple: keep playing pickup ball.

🚫 Owner suspended. The Seattle Storm owner was suspended by the WNBA, for cursing at fans.


Disputes

Blazers arena negotiations, not going great

The city of Portland was finally able to meet with the Portland Trail Blazers organization to try to work out a new lease agreement, which would provide funding to the existing Moda Center and help keep the Blazers in Portland for a couple of decades, at least.

But as Jason Quick wrote about yesterday’s meeting, the two sides were still very far apart:

“The bad news: Both sides remain divided — deeply divided — on whether the city will give the team $573 million in public funding for arena improvements in exchange for a 20-year lease that keeps the team in Portland.”

New Trail Blazers owner Tom Dundon has been quick to talk about not wanting to put any money into the arena and have it just be publicly funded. Of course, there are plenty of people wondering whether or not Dundon even wants to keep the Blazers in Portland. His recent comments about doing the city a favor by staying put rubbed a lot of people the wrong way, and worried Blazers fans that the team will eventually move.

On top of that, president of business operations Dewayne Hankins had this to say to the city council:

“Portland’s current stagnant business climate, high income taxes and divisive political environment makes this a tough city to invest in,’’ Hankins said. “It makes it harder to sell tickets, secure corporate sponsorships and recruit players.’’

This comment comes with apparent fear that the city of Portland will want to know what repairs the arena needs, which the Blazers claim will then allow the city to sue the franchise for not upkeeping a certain standard. Hankins claimed this “threat” (read that word in quotations with about as dramatic an eye roll as you can muster without losing your equilibrium and falling over) has chilled their negotiations.

The ill will from Dundon doesn’t appear to exemplify the good faith he claims to have in negotiating. Adam Silver, as a commissioner who works for the owners, pretty much has to back whatever Dundon’s saying and doing. At the same time, it’s a ridiculous business practice that is spitting in the face of a great basketball city and a fervent fan base.

Unfortunately, I’m not sure progress is actually happening, but at least the city finally got the Blazers to come to the table. I assume Dundon will want some kind of appearance fee for just doing that.


Poster Child

Pick the best vintage NBA poster

Nostalgia can often be a cheat code when it comes to having a lively sports discussion. With the NBA, nostalgia can carry you through the dullest of times in the calendar year, or through the most hyped moments of the season. People love looking at how things were in yesteryear.

Does the NBA poster wall still exist today? Because that’s quite nostalgic to me.

Are basketball fans still buying posters? Are they still putting posters on their walls? Are they pulling the mini-insert posters out of SLAM Magazine? Did all of these get replaced by NFTs? Are NFTs still a thing?

So, let’s do a poster battle. For the first installment, we’re going with two of the greatest posters to ever grace a basketball fan’s wall: The Rifleman poster of Chuck Person and The Silent Assassin poster of Dale Ellis.

These are two beautiful works of art.

Person was nicknamed “The Rifleman” and was one of the best trash talkers in the NBA. He could put up 30 in the blink of an eye. Having him in some pseudo-hunting/cowboy gear was a brilliant touch for the Indiana Pacers legend.

As for Ellis’ poster, he looks like a home invader ready to attack. But he wants you to remain quiet as he does it. Also it looks like some representation of a Utah Jazz player reading a paper with the headline, “Ellis Strikes Again.”

So what do we say, Bouncers? If you’re choosing between the two posters, are you taking The Silent Assassin or The Rifleman? Vote in the comments below, and the winner will face a new challenger next week!

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