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NHL’s best prospects: An essential guide

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Red Light newsletter 🏒 | This is The Athletic’s hockey newsletter. Sign up here to receive Red Light directly in your inbox.

Good morning to everyone except all the players who turned 23 this year and can’t be in our prospect rankings anymore. Welcome to being old, fellow codgers. Somebody get Matthew Knies a rocking chair. Hike up those pants, Matty Beniers. Prepare to get really into weather-tracking apps, Owen Power. Father Time comes for us all, and he’s undefeated.


(Illustration: Demetrius Robinson / The Athletic; Photos: Ezra Shaw, Michael Reaves, Matthew Stockman / Getty Images)

The Future

Happy prospect ranking week

It’s been a big week for our hockey coverage, with prospects expert Corey Pronman dropping his annual rankings of each team’s pipeline of players 22 and younger.

You can find the full ranked list here, and as always, your favorite team is ranked way too low. (If Corey actually watched the games, he’d know your team’s sixth-round pick is an elite prospect even though he holds his stick the wrong way and once played an entire playoff game with his skate guards on.) Many people think this is because Corey hates their favorite team, but that’s not true. It’s that he hates you, personally. You know what you did.

All joking aside, Corey spends a ton of time putting his rankings together, and the level of detail for each team is impressive. Luckily for us, he still found some time to answer a few questions for Red Light readers.

While we don’t want to spoil all the suspense, it’s no surprise San Jose tops the list, given it just added an impressive draft haul to a system that already has Macklin Celebrini and plenty more. Just how high can the Sharks’ ceiling be?

💬 Pronman: “The hardest piece to find is a star No. 1 center. Celebrini looks a lot like how Sidney Crosby did at the same age. The Sharks don’t have an Evgeni Malkin type as well, but they are a very deep and talented young team. They have the makeup of a potential Cup contender in the moderate future.”

One thing that stands out at the top of your list is that seven of the eight highest-ranking teams are in the West. We know about names such as Connor Bedard and Leo Carlsson, but is there a name in that group that you think fans out east should be paying more attention to?

💬 Pronman: “Utah feels like a team on the cusp. It has a strong roster and a high-end collection of young players. Not all of them will be able to play for the Mammoth, who have the chips to make a big play.”

The one top-eight exception in the East is the Montreal Canadiens, who ranked third among teams and have three of the top 11 players on today’s overall list. Given that they’re already coming off a 106-point season where they won two playoff rounds, just how screwed is the rest of the conference for the next decade or so?

💬 Pronman: “You would think they would be screwed if Florida wasn’t a thing and Toronto didn’t just get the No. 1 pick and Buffalo wasn’t also very young. Montreal has the most promising outlook, though, of any team in the East — by a fair margin.”

Thanks to Corey for that. Now it’s time for you to head over and find out where your team ranked and how each of its top 22-and-under players breaks down by potential future impact.

And if the team rankings aren’t enough, don’t forget to check Corey’s tiered ranking of 156 young players from around the league, as well as a special ranking of the top players drafted outside the first round.


The Calder Trophy. (Christopher Hanewinckel / Imagn Images)

💡 Trivia Time

Let’s keep the prospect theme going, with a nod toward Corey’s ranking of players drafted outside the first round. In the cap era, how many players can you name who were not first-round draft picks but went on to win the Calder Trophy as NHL rookie of the year?

A few hints: There’s one recent winner you should probably get fairly quickly. There are multiple European winners who didn’t come over to the NHL until years after being drafted. And don’t forget about the goaltenders.

Answer at the bottom.


Coast to Coast

🤯 Macklin Celebrini is the first hockey player not named Wayne Gretzky to have his card sell for more than $1 million. The Sharks superstar — at just 20 years old — is one of only 33 players across five sports who’ve had one or more of their cards sell for at least $1 million. The sale price of his Upper Deck Young Guns Gold Outburst? A cool $1.28 million.

🗳️ How confident are you in your team’s front office? Tapping into the collective opinion of our well-informed subscribers, we quantified that confidence, or lack thereof. The Hurricanes are no surprise at No. 1, but it gets very interesting after that.

🦘 If you’re like me and you’ve ever wondered why NHL teams bother testing how high a player can jump, check out this fascinating piece from Fluto Shinzawa.

👶 Every fanbase is unique, but one thing unites us all: the lingering belief that every random rookie who debuts against our team absolutely lights them up.

🚨 Jesse Granger checks in from the star-studded U.S. national goaltending symposium, where the vibes around American goalies couldn’t be any better.

📺 Julian McKenzie has the news of the end of the barrier-breaking “Hockey Night in Canada: Punjabi Edition” after 18 years on the air.

🤫 Arpon Basu weighs in on the pressing offseason question in Montreal: Why were the Habs so quiet?

🎙️ It’s a big week for “The Athletic Hockey Show” as Pronman has a full breakdown of all 32 teams’ prospect systems. Plus, on a separate episode, the guys deep dive into Corey’s under-23 player rankings and Scott Wheeler’s first 2027 NHL Draft ranking of the year. Listen or watch here.


Dylan Larkin. (Bruce Bennett / Getty Images)

Losing the Plot

NHL’s forgotten storylines

One of the most frustrating things that can happen as a TV fan is getting invested in a storyline on your favorite show, only to have the writers and producers just kind of … forget about it. As a viewer, you’re left sitting there thinking “Wait, didn’t that used to be important?”

Luckily, the NHL’s script writers rarely fall into this trap. If they introduce some random waiver-wire pickup early on, it’s probably going to be important by the end of the season.

But every now and then, they introduce what seems like a major plotline and then just kind of abandon it for a while. That’s been a theme of the offseason so far, where a bunch of seemingly crucial stories from early summer are still just kind of sitting there as we head into late August.

Here are three that come to mind. If you’re an NHL writer, consider this your gentle reminder to get going.

1️⃣ Team USA exodus

The setup: In the aftermath of their Olympic win, all of Team USA’s star players apparently got together in a group chat and decided to demand trades. Zach Werenski, Dylan Larkin, Brady Tkachuk and Connor Hellebuyck were all going to be on the move. Tkachuk went first, heading to join his brother in Florida, leaving three more big names to drive the summer trade market.

But then … Werenski appeared to change his mind, pulling himself off the market, at least for now. Hellebuyck was apparently close to being dealt to the Sabres at the draft, but it fell through and his trade talk has since gone quiet. As for Larkin, he still hasn’t been traded, and now we’re not even sure who would be trading him, because …

2️⃣ Red Wings’ new GM

The setup: The shocking news of Steve Yzerman‘s ouster as Wings GM came in mid-July, leading to all sorts of speculation about what would come next, how it would affect Larkin and what it would mean about what the floundering Red Wings were even trying to do.

But then … over a month later, and … nothing yet. Detroit is the only team in the league without a GM, leaving not just Larkin but basically its entire 2026-27 plans in limbo. Meanwhile, we’ve yet to so much as hear from Yzerman himself on the move.

3️⃣ Resetting of the blue-line market

The setup: With Cale Makar and Quinn Hughes both needing extensions, the clock was ticking on two contracts that would no doubt blow the lid off of Erik Karlsson’s league-high $11.5 million cap hit for defensemen. The question was not just who would get what, but who’d go first and how long it would all take.

But then … crickets so far, with neither player re-signing or even sounding like he’s all that close. Instead, it was Bowen Byram who got to temporarily assume Karlsson’s throne. That’s fine as far as Hughes and Makar go — they’re both under contract for the coming season, so in theory they’ve got 10 months to get deals done. But with everyone else watching and waiting, we’re still trying to figure out which blue-line shoe will be the first to drop.

Mix in a handful of remaining UFAs, such as Patrik Laine and Vladimir Tarasenko, plus the ongoing Cutter Gauthier drama, and there’s still some work left to be done for the NHL’s 32 GMs. Well, 31 until the Wings get moving.


Lane Hutson. (Ezra Shaw / Getty Images)

Trivia Answer

Of the 21 cap-era Calder Trophy winners, only four were not first-round picks.

Those players were:

  • 2024 winner Lane Hutson, a second-round pick in 2022
  • 2021 winner Kirill Kaprizov, a fifth-round pick in 2015
  • 2016 winner Artemi Panarin, who was undrafted
  • 2009 winner Steve Mason, a third-round pick in 2006

Even with our goaltending hint, I’d be impressed if you got Mason. He remains the only goalie to win the Calder in the cap era, although four have been runners-up, most recently Dustin Wolf in 2025.


Questions, comments or corrections? We’d love to hear your feedback. Email us at redlight@theathletic.com.


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Carlos Alcaraz confirms U.S. Open return via soccer transfer figure Fabrizio Romano

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Carlos Alcaraz lifts the U.S. Open trophy wearing a purple jacket.

Carlos Alcaraz will return in New York, from a wrist injury that has sidelined him since April. Matthew Stockman / Getty Images

“I’m coming back. Here we go.”

With those six words, Carlos Alcaraz bent the tennis universe back his way Thursday, as he heralded his return to the sport after a four-month absence because of a wrist injury.

Alcaraz, the seven-time Grand Slam champion who has been out since April, said he will return in a collaboration post with soccer transfer figure Fabrizio Romano, and even saw fit to throw in the Italian’s catchphrase: “Here we go.”

The 23-year-old Spaniard is defending champion in New York. Assuming his wrist stays healthy during the next week, he will look to renew his rivalry with world No. 1 Jannik Sinner there — but Sinner is yet to confirm his participation after withdrawing from this week’s Cincinnati Open with a right knee injury.

Alcaraz is also yet to formally confirm if his comeback will include the singles event. The main draws get underway Aug. 30, but Alcaraz may be on court sooner than that. The U.S. Open still has three wild cards to hand out for its mixed doubles tournament, which runs Aug. 24 through Aug. 26.

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Lions TE Sam LaPorta dealing with hip injury, threatening his Week 1 availability

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ALLEN PARK, Mich. — Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta, coming off season-ending back surgery, is now dealing with a hip injury that could threaten his availability for the season opener.

“Sam, the other night, he got hit in the hip and it just flared up a little bit,” coach Dan Campbell told reporters Thursday. “It’s a little aggravating, but we feel good long-term about him. We’re just resting him for a little bit here and letting it calm down.”

When asked if the injury could linger into the regular season, Campbell said, “I feel like we’ll be OK, but I don’t know.”

This is troubling news for the Lions if LaPorta is forced to miss time. LaPorta missed eight games during the 2025 season after suffering a back injury in Week 10 versus the Commanders. After evaluating his options, LaPorta opted for season-ending surgery to repair a herniated disc, and the Lions placed him on injured reserve shortly thereafter. His absence drastically shifted the offense.

Detroit Lions Camp: Drew Petzing’s scheme, Blake Miller and more

Robert Mays

From Weeks 1 through 10, the Lions were in 12 personnel (two tight ends, one running back, two receivers) for 32.9 percent of their offensive snaps — seventh-highest in the league. Their 11 personnel (one tight end, one running back, three WRs) rate in that span (53.1 percent) ranked 23rd. From Weeks 11 through 18 without LaPorta, the Lions recorded the sixth-highest 11 personnel rate at 63.7 percent, as their 12 personnel rate plummeted to 11.6 percent (27th). Detroit’s offensive success rate fell from eighth in Weeks 1-10 to 23rd in Weeks 11-18.

This offense isn’t the same without LaPorta. The Lions hoped LaPorta could put the injury bug behind him after an offseason of rest, and in practice, he was looking like himself again. But after taking a hit during Monday’s practice (with a walk-through Tuesday), LaPorta did not participate in practice Wednesday and now we know why.

It seems like the Lions won’t rush LaPorta back on the field, and hope the added rest will get him ready for the Week 1 opener at home against the Saints on Sept. 13. LaPorta is also entering the fourth and final year of his rookie contract, so it’ll be interesting to see if this injury affects those talks.

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2025-26 was Manchester United’s Bruno Fernandes season – they don’t want another one

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Bruno Fernandes contributed to a remarkable 32 points with his goals and assists for Manchester United last season in the Premier League.

If you were to subtract those from United’s total tally, then they’d have finished on 39 points — level with West Ham but above them on goal difference.

Now, we know that is not how football really works, and if they didn’t have Fernandes, other players would have stepped up and scored or assisted at least some of the goals he did. So United would not have been fighting relegation without Fernandes, but we can be almost as sure they would not have finished third and qualified for the Champions League without him either.

The amount of points Fernandes earned is a signifier of how reliant United were on their captain last term. It’s impressive and risky in equal measure, and the club’s plan for the future is for that not to be the case.

In nine of the games Fernandes either scored or assisted in, those goal contributions were the deciding moments. His goal or assist either put United level to earn a draw or put them into a lead — for a total of 17 points.

It is why the record-breaking 21 assists in the Premier League were certainly worthy of the individual accolades he collected last season, such as the FWA Footballer of the Year and Premier League Player of the Season.

It is also why United insist he is not for sale this summer and instead are in talks about extending his contract.

Fernandes is the second-highest paid player at the club now that Marcus Rashford has returned. You suspect Fernandes may get closer to Rashford’s salary once these contract negotiations are completed following Galatasaray’s reported interest.

The Portuguese is, without doubt, the most important player in Michael Carrick’s team, but if they are going to challenge for major honours, then United need others to help out even more.

Fernandes’ team-mates need to chip in more regularly in 2026-27 (Steve Bardens/Getty Images)

Benjamin Sesko, Bryan Mbeumo and Matheus Cunha all scored more Premier League goals than Fernandes, but only just. Mbeumo and Sesko scored 11, with Cunha on 10.

Those combined numbers are good, especially considering they are league goals only and from a brand-new attack constructed last summer, but the point remains: United need more from their front three. The club’s total of 69 goals in the league last season was a huge improvement on the 44 from the previous campaign. They were also only two shy of champions Arsenal.

But Fernandes created 21 of them directly. The next in the list of assists was Patrick Dorgu on four. His chance creation is even more startling. Since 2023-24, he has created 458 chances. The next highest is Diogo Dalot on 144, as the graph below displays.

Across the Premier League in the same time frame, Fernandes has created more than 30 per cent of United’s goals and scored just shy of 20 per cent. Last season, Fernandes created four chances per game, more than any other player across Europe’s top five leagues.

This summer’s midfield rejig is something head coach Michael Carrick believes can help improve the attacking numbers of others. But any changes made will not be to stifle Fernandes in any way. Instead, the idea is to give him even more freedom.

That was one item discussed in pre-season planning by Carrick and his staff: How can they keep Fernandes’ numbers up but also pull others closer to him in terms of their contribution?

Under Ruben Amorim, Fernandes played most of the first half of last season in a deeper role, which gave him more time on the ball but added defensive responsibilities and, crucially, meant he was in the attacking third less often.

Carrick changed that straight away when he came in, but United’s coaching staff want more of Fernandes in and around the area where he can continue to hurt opposition teams.

Carrick restored Fernandes to an attacking position and reaped the benefits (Carl Recine/Getty Images)

The arrival of Youri Tielemans will help Fernandes, but also United’s other attackers. In United’s pre-season friendly against Paris Saint-Germain, which ended 1-1, the £35million signing from Aston Villa came off the bench and completed 21 of his 21 passes, with 90 per cent of them forward, according to Opta.

The intent was clear. Get the ball moving forward as quickly as possible to help United attack swiftly, and that will benefit Fernandes and others.

Last term, Fernandes made eight passes into the final third per game, more than any other United player. It is hoped Tielemans can challenge those numbers.

Carrick will also want more from his midfield in terms of attacking threat. They have to replace the nine goals Casemiro scored from a defensive midfield role for starters.

Tielemans managed seven assists and two goals last season for Aston Villa. United believe he can better that tally and the player himself is ambitious to do so. He had 25 assists and 10 goals in 134 appearances for Villa.

Meanwhile, Kobbie Mainoo, at 21, is still developing. He has scored important and impressive goals since breaking into the United first team, but there is a belief he can be better near the box if given more freedom to get forward.

Andrey Santos and Carlos Baleba may provide him with a bit of protection to do so. Santos has played as a screen across the defence so far in pre-season, while Baleba — should a deal get completed with Brighton as expected — will help cover a lot of ground, which could help free up Mainoo more.

United’s attack has not been strengthened so far in this window, but the return of Rashford, should he stay, also provides potential for more goals and assists from another player.

Rashford managed 14 goals and 14 assists in all competitions last season for Barcelona. Those 28 goal involvements were double United’s next-best performer after Fernandes, with Mbeumo managing 14 goal involvements combined.

Obviously, it remains to be seen if Rashford will stay and if Carrick can inspire the 28-year-old England international to find form again in a United shirt.

His most prolific season for United came in the 2022-23 season, when he scored 30 and created 12 in all competitions. Fernandes assisted him seven times in a campaign in which he managed 29 goal involvements himself.

Carrick believes he can revitalise Rashford in a United shirt, so is keen for him to stay but is aware of the potential for the right offer to come that the club may take should it arrive before September 1.

Fernandes might be reunited with Marcus Rashford this season (Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

Rashford gives Carrick options on the left with Cunha and can also play through the middle if needed. His presence — if fit and firing — means United have strong options off the bench when opposition teams are tiring, whether the England international starts or is a substitute.

Carrick is also confident Sesko will continue to progress. His 11 Premier League goals last season were a decent return in a debut campaign, especially considering he started only 17 games.

That was down to arriving late in the transfer window, combined with knee and shin injuries which punctuated his season. Sesko has missed all of this summer’s pre-season with that shin problem but returned to full training this week and may be in contention for the squad for the season opener against Hull City on Saturday.

Mbeumo’s form dropped after last season’s Africa Cup of Nations, and he went nine games between March and early May without scoring. Cunha was consistent but can improve, while Amad will want to improve his total of two goals and four assists.

United are also aware that Fernandes, who turns 32 in September, may need to have his minutes managed a bit more as he ages. The Portugal midfielder has missed just five games through injury since moving to United in 2020.

The graph below conveys the sheer amount of minutes he plays.

That is not expected to dip immediately, but there is also the thought of keeping him fresh. A fit Mason Mount and Tielemans’ ability to play further forward offers rotation options.

Carrick’s side now has to challenge the demands of Champions League football on top of the domestic campaign, and he may need to rest the club captain at times, which also means others will need to step up.

The aim is not to make Fernandes less important. United want him deciding games, creating chances and producing moments his ability allows.

That certainly didn’t happen given his record-breaking campaign. As captain and talisman, he is also always going to be talked about, under scrutiny, praised when he delivers positive performances and criticised when he doesn’t.

Fernandes will always be central to United, but the challenge for Carrick is to make sure they’re not reliant on him to be the difference in almost every game.

If the Portuguese is rested, well-marshalled or simply has an off day, United want other players who are capable of taking more responsibility and changing a match. Fernandes himself has already said he wants to hear less about Bruno and more about United.

This season, he will hope they deliver on that.

Additional reporting: Laurie Whitwell and Conor O’Neill

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