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The Box Office Is Hot, But Expect It to Start Cooling Off Over the Next Few Weeks

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The summer box office has gotten off to a red hot start. Thanks to “The Devil Wears Prada 2” and “Michael,” with an assist from “Mortal Kombat II” this past weekend, the May box office has reached $405 million through May 13, the second highest record in May up to this point in the past decade.

But get ready for that hot streak to start wearing off in the second half of the month. Currently, only two films on the remainder of the May slate are projected for an opening weekend of more than $10 million: the Memorial Day weekend release “The Mandalorian & Grogu” at $80 million-plus, followed by A24’s “The Backrooms” at around $20 million the weekend after.

And this weekend isn’t going to bring a big opening weekend either. The new offerings include Focus Features’ critically acclaimed TIFF horror acquisition “Obsession,” Amazon MGM’s pulpy revenge film “Is God Is,” and Black Bear’s Guy Ritchie action film “In the Grey” starring Jake Gyllenhaal and Henry Cavill.

“Obsession,” which is tipped to be the top newcomer of the weekend, might be able to beat box office projections of a $7-9 million start if word-of-mouth among opening night crowds is as strong as those who saw Curry Barker’s debut film at its Toronto midnight section premiere. But it isn’t expected to keep “The Devil Wears Prada 2” from holding on to the No. 1 spot, which would mean that, combined with “Mandalorian & Grogu,” Disney is on track to top the charts in every weekend of May.

But for theaters, a relatively slower Memorial Day period is one they will have to get through before the stronger numbers that have fueled optimism for the summer overall arrive. That starts in mid-June with Pixar’s “Toy Story 5,” and possibly earlier with the combined efforts of films like Amazon MGM’s “Masters of the Universe,” Paramount’s “Scary Movie” and Universal’s “Disclosure Day.”

It’s a trend that Daniel Loria, SVP and Editorial Director at Boxoffice, says he and theater owners have long been anticipating.

“I’ve been telling people for weeks that Memorial Day weekend doesn’t have the lineup to come close to matching what we saw last year,” he said. “For that matter, Thanksgiving weekend, which won’t have a Disney sequel or a ‘Wicked’ film, is also going to have a significant drop from recent years.”

Holdover help from “Michael” and “Prada 2” will help, but Memorial Day weekend will be far below the holiday record $330 million total recorded last year thanks to Disney’s “Lilo & Stitch” and Paramount’s final “Mission: Impossible” film. It may also slide below $200 million in overall grosses for the four-day period.

That will keep this May from being a $1 billion month, though the strong start should keep the final monthly total similar to last year’s $967 million. Pre-summer projections from one studio obtained by TheWrap that projected a $4.3 billion summer had May’s box office matching that of last year’s despite a softer Memorial Day weekend, followed by monthly totals of $940 million for June, $1.29 billion for July and $913 million for August, the last being the first $900 million-plus August in a decade.

Loria notes theaters have similar high expectations under the belief that the slower periods for this summer’s box office will have a higher floor than those of years past, allowing theaters to have fewer weeks where staffers get their hours cut.

“It’s about consistency. With the higher volume of films from weekend to weekend, the theaters know that the gaps in the calendar are better addressed,” he said. “We’re steering away from summers where there’s a few big opening weekends but followed by slower weeks where one film is doing two-thirds of overall business.”

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Hearst Networks UK Buys Rebooted ‘Orange County Choppers Original’

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EXCLUSIVE: Orange County Choppers Originals is headed out of the garage and travelling to Europe.

Hearst Networks has bought UK rights to the ‘reborn’ ob doc series from Off The Fence, which has boarded the show after striking an agreement to represent it worldwide (excluding the U.S.).

The new series – which aired in the U.S. on Discovery Channel, Discovery Turbo TV, Discovery+, and Discovery GO after launching in February – is the latest chapter in the motorbikes franchise that began in 2002 with American Chopper and is bases around the Orange County Choppers custom bikes business. A second season has been ordered, with the number of eps doubling to 12.

Prior to Orange County Choppers Originals‘ launch, there had been no new American Chopper episodes since 2020’s finale, American Chopper: The Last Ride. At one point, there had been a six-year gap due to legal problems between Paul Teutul Sr. and his son, Paul Teutul Jr., the father and son at the center of the series, but they were ultimately settled and the pair reunited on-screen.

The Hearst agreement, brokered by OTF’s SVP North America and Global Networks, Sam Thompson and Hearst Networks’ Acquisitions Manager, Hannah Gray, marks a first international deal for the revival.

Orange County Choppers Originals is based around Teutul Sr., founder and CEO of Orange County Choppers, who has spent over 30 years crafting custom motorcycles for major corporations and sports teams. The series shifts the focus to his workshop in Florida, where he reunites with some of the original team while introducing fresh talent. It also delves into his personal life, highlighting his charity work and passion for animal welfare and rescue on his hobby farm.

Hearst’s Gray said: “Orange County Choppers has everything we look for in great factual entertainment: big builds, strong characters and plenty of heart. With Paul Sr. back at the centre of the story, we’re excited to bring this new chapter to UK audiences.”

Orange County Choppers Original sees Teutul Sr.’s team design and build one-of-a-kind motorcycles for charitable causes, with each episode following them through engineering challenges, tight deadlines, and unexpected setbacks, culminating in auctions or raffles to raise funds and awareness.

Joan Kay, co-CEO of OCC said: “Everyone loves a comeback story and this one comes with the rebirth of an iconic brand and frankly, Paul Sr. is kicking ass. We’re very excited to partner with OTF on the global revival of the show as the company shares our values of working with entertainment with purpose and has an enviable reach and network of partners around the world across all platforms.

“This show isn’t just television, it has proved itself as a cultural phenomenon with the power to ignite fans and enthusiasts and turbocharge bike culture – we can’t wait for you all to see it.”

OTF’s Thompson said: “We’ve seized this opportunity wholeheartedly because the facts speak for themselves. There’s an existing fanbase hungry for more, with proven ratings, engagement, sponsorship and merchandising potential. We’re especially excited to have Hearst Networks on board as a quality broadcast partner and look forward to sharing the rollout of this rare gem.”

The American Chopper franchise has previously broadcasted in 160 territories in 35 languages worldwide, and OTF’s acquisition offers a new opportunity for buyers at MIPCOM in just under two weeks’ time in Cannes, France.

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European Film Academy Honors Beki Probst, Marin Karmitz

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The European Film Academy has named Beki Probst, Marin Karmitz and Sandra den Hamer as the first recipients of its new Community Award for an Outstanding Contribution to European Film Culture.

The award, paying tribute to “a decisive and continuous contribution over many years to the development and expansion of European film culture”, will be presented during the European Film Awards weekend in Athens in January 2027.

The trio will be presented with the award on January 15, on the eve of the main ceremony at the traditional Welcome Night gala dinner, taking place this edition at the Acropolis Museum housing some 4,000 artefacts dating as far back as 1,200 BCE.

Probst is best known internationally as the founder of the Berlinale’s European Film Market, having entered the cinema world as the founder with her Swiss husband of the Queenie Cinemas in Berne in the 1960s, which grew into a successful chain of arthouse cinemas still existing today.

Born into a Sephardic Jewish family in Istanbul, Probst studied Law and Journalism and worked briefly as a film journalist.

From 1981 to 1988, she was the Berlinale delegate for Turkey and Greece and after initiating Locarno’s industry program, she was asked by Berlinale Director Moritz de Hadeln to start the European Film Market in 1988 in its current form.

Under her management, which continued into 2014, the EFM became one of the largest and most important international film market in Europe.

She has previously been feted with the Berlinale Camera, the Prix du cinéma Suisse, the French Chevalier des Arts et des Lettres and the Order of Merit of the Federal Republic of Germany.

Karmitz is known as the founder of France’s independent exhibitor, producer, film financier and sales agent mk2 film. Born in Romania in 1938, Karmitz arrived in France as a refugee with his family in 1947.

After studies at the IDHEC film school in Paris, he worked as assistant director to the filmmakers Jean-Luc Godard, Agnès Varda, Jacques Rozier, Yannick Bellon and Pierre Kast. before directing his first short film, Nuit Noir, Calcutta, based on a screenplay by Marguerite Duras, in 1964.

In 1965, he worked with Samuel Beckett on the adaptation of Comédie. In the same year, the feature was selected to open the Venice International Film Festival and shocked audiences with its avant-garde material.

He launched mk2 Productions in 1967 and made his feature-length directorial debut with Seven Days Somewhere Else (1968), followed by Comrades (1970) and Blow for Blow (1972), which were screened at international festivals.

He opened his first cinema in Paris in 1974 in response to Blow for Blow, about a group of textiles workers who take their factory boss hostage in protest at the work conditions, being shut out of mainstream circuits.

In 40 years, he would produce 108 films and distribute over 350 in theatres, among them Krzysztof Kieslowski’s Three Colours trilogy, for which he received a nomination for the European Film Awards 1994, twelve films by Claude Chabrol, Alain Resnais, Louis Malle, the Taviani brothers, Theo Angelopoulos, Lucian Pintilié, Gus Van Sant, Ken Loach, Abbas Kiarostami, Hong Sang-Soo, Michael Haneke, Walter Salles and Xavier Dolan.

Den Hamer has an extensive track record in the Dutch film industry.

From 2007 to 2023, she was the director of the Netherlands Filmmuseum in Amsterdam. Under her leadership, the re-named Eye Filmmuseum opened a brand-new museum building and a new collection centre in Amsterdam.

Its eclectic programming includes large retrospectives, international conferences and as well as exhibitions, exploring the work and careers of filmmakers such as Bela Tarr, Apichatpong Weerasethakul and Alex van Warmerdam among many others.

Before that, Sandra den Hamer worked for 23 years at the International Film Festival Rotterdam, including roles as co-ordinator of CineMart and the Hubert Bals Fund. From 1996 to 2007, she directed the festival.

She also served as President of the Board of the Association of European Cinematheques (A.C.E.). From 2023 to 2026. she was appointed interim executive director at the Netherlands Film Fund. Today she chairs the Board of the IDFA Institute and the Gerrit Rietveld Academy in Amsterdam.

Gathering 5,700 members from more than 50 countries across Europe, the European Film Academy oversees the annual European Film Awards, which alternates taking place in its home city of Berlin and another European city, which is Athens this year.

The 39th ceremony marks the second time it is unfolding in its new January slot, after the academy decided to shift it from a long-running December slot to integrate the awards more fully into the wider awards season.

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‘Doctor Who’: Multiple BBC Studios Labels To Apply For Tender

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EXCLUSIVE: At least one BBC Studios indie will be throwing its hat in the ring to become the next producer of Doctor Who, with scripted boss Jamie Hall telling Deadline he “firmly believes” the entire BBC group should “reap the rewards” of the iconic sci-fi series.

Hall said “we’ve probably got one, potentially two companies” going for the multi-million pound tender, which if successful would bring the show back in house following two seasons made by Sony-owned Bad Wolf, starring Ncuti Gatwa. His comments followed BBC Studios CEO Tom Fussell recently saying BBC Studios would be applying “with gusto.”

Hall wouldn’t reveal the names of the indies but said he would “100%” be happy for more than one to enter the race.

BBC Studios runs an in-house drama label, which made Doctor Who before Bad Wolf, while it also owns several scripted indies outright including Baby Reindeer maker Clerkenwell Films, Happy Valley producer Lookout Point and Sherwood indie House Productions.

While he hasn’t seen his labels’ proposals, Hall said he has been “very open” and honest with those keen to go for the tender because the process is “quite an onerous undertaking and costs quite a bit of money.” “I have to make sure that it doesn’t become a distraction from the day job,” he added.

If two BBC Studios labels enter, they will likely join Line of Duty producer World Productions, whose boss Simon Heath has previously indicated his ITV Studios-owned outfit is interested. More thoughts from producers can be found in our future Doctor Who analysis from over the summer.

Published a fortnight ago, the tender calls for a “relevant, surprising, brave and inspiring” new vision for the show that should premiere in 2028-29. Notably, it said it is happy for indies to pitch a series using “episodic writers” rather than a “showrunner model,” which would do away with how Doctor Who has been made in recent years.

After several years with Bad Wolf and after the termination of the just-ended Disney+ co-pro deal, Hall was adamant that Doctor Who “should sit within the BBC and the whole group should reap the rewards of it.”

Questioned on what he would want to see from a revamped Doctor Who, Hall harked back to the days when Matt Smith and David Tennant were playing the Doctor.

“It feels to me that there is an opportunity to get back to what the core offering was in that time,” he added. “It will be off screen for two or three years and that gives the audience a great chance to have a break then rediscover, while also bringing a new audience.”

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