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World Cup Fantasy: Top 10 premium picks for the knockout stages 

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The knockout rounds are where premium players truly earn their price tags. With fewer fixtures, less room for error and every match carrying huge importance, investing in proven world-class talent becomes more important than ever. 

While differentials can still provide rank gains, premium assets offer the combination of security, explosive potential and captaincy appeal that can define your World Cup Fantasy campaign. 

We did a piece on the best premiums during the group stages, and this will be an update of that, taking into account fixtures, form and differential status.


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10. Bukayo Saka, England

Bukayo Saka ($9.5m) has been easing himself back in from injury but now seems to be approaching full match fitness. The fixture against Norway could be one where he gets some joy, and although he hasn’t produced what we know he can, he no doubt still has a haul in him. 

Also, he is one of the few premium players who is a huge differential and still under five per cent owned, which means he qualifies for the scouting bonus. 

Norway may prove stubborn, but England should still create enough opportunities for Saka to deliver. His combination of goals, assists and bonus-point potential makes him a huge upside option, although, admittedly, a risky one.

Bukayo Saka might prove the ultimate risk-or-reward pick (Buda Mendes/Getty Images)

9. Lamine Yamal, Spain

Similar to Saka, Spain’s young superstar has also had a quiet tournament by his own high standards, and it’s a similar story with him being eased into the team after injury. 

A quarter-final against Belgium means Spain are strong favourites to progress, and despite his lacklustre campaign so far, he is still the best attacker for his country. 

The 18-year-old played his first 90 minutes of the tournament in the 1-0 win over Portugal, so his fitness is not an issue anymore. Surely it’s only a matter of time before he hits form again.

8. Erling Haaland, Norway

Including Erling Haaland ($10.5m) may surprise some managers given Norway’s difficult fixture against England. However, fantasy football is ultimately about backing elite players capable of producing moments of brilliance — and he has shown this tournament that he can score against anyone. 

He already has seven goals from the 11 that Norway have scored while he’s been on the pitch and is probably the biggest talisman we have left in the World Cup. If Norway manage to get anything from this game, there is no doubt Haaland will be the catalyst. 

While his fixture lowers his immediate appeal, that is countered by being arguably the best finisher in world football. 

7. Mikel Oyarzabal, Spain

Mikel Oyarzabal ($8.1m) remains one of the safest routes into Spain’s attack, and he is also the focal point, playing as the No 9. He has four goals and an assist and will be one of the favourites to score in the quarter-finals given the fixture and the quality of Spain’s team. 

His slightly lower ownership compared to other premiums could also make him an attractive differential. Oyarzabal is only 12.5 per cent owned at the time of writing.

Although he doesn’t qualify for the scouting bonus, he is still very much a differential. So for those chasing, he is a fine option.

6. Ousmane Dembele, France

Ousmane Dembele ($10.0m) is also nailed to start, and although he doesn’t provide the minutes security of Michael Olise and Kylian Mbappe, he has a higher goal threat than the former. 

He has already proven his worth with a hat-trick against Norway during the group stages and has two assists to his name. 

Mbappe, Olise and Dembele are undoubtedly the best attacking trio of this tournament, and all three have huge upside. Owning at least two of them seems wise, especially since they are favourites to win the World Cup.

Managers chasing rank may even prefer to captain Dembele over Mbappe.

5. Michael Olise, France

Michael Olise ($9.5m) has been one of France’s standout performers throughout the tournament. His creativity has been exceptional, and he genuine goal threat too.

He leads in assists (five), and he has been quite unfortunate not to have registered a few goals. Olise’s involvement in almost every dangerous attack keeps him firmly among the premium conversation, and along with Mbappe, he is one of France’s most nailed attackers. 

If France score, there is a high chance he will be involved one way or another.

4. Jude Bellingham, England

Bellingham continues to prove why he is one of the most complete midfielders in world football. 

He has lived up to the billing time and again on the big stage, and his most recent brace against Mexico was the latest example. He now has four goals and one assist in this World Cup.

He regularly arrives late into the penalty area, creates chances for team-mates and is one of the players who is very likely to play every single minute even if the game goes into extra time. 

Facing Norway only strengthens his appeal. Managers looking for a premium midfielder with both consistency and explosive potential should have Bellingham near the top of their shortlist.

Jude Bellingham was immense for England at the Azteca (Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)

3. Lionel Messi, Argentina 

Few players are more reliable in tournament football than Lionel Messi. 

Argentina’s quarter-final meeting with Switzerland is far from straightforward, but the overall route through the draw remains favourable compared to several other tournament heavyweights. 

Messi, even at the age of 39, continues to dominate Argentina’s attacking play, taking set pieces, penalties and creating chances too. He is also in contention for the Golden Boot, and Argentina’s side of the draw means they have a great chance of going further in the tournament.

While he may be in the twilight of his career, Messi’s Fantasy ceiling remains among the highest in the game.

2. Harry Kane, England

England have one of the most appealing quarter-final fixtures against Norway, and they have shown they are an attacking force. 

Harry Kane ($10.5m) has been sublime this tournament with six goals and will have the Golden Boot in mind.

The England captain has been in outstanding form, consistently producing attacking returns while remaining the focal point of almost every attack. Whether it’s penalties, link-up play or finishing inside the box, Kane offers multiple routes to points every single match. 

England are one of the favourites now and have a fairly favourable bracket to make it to the final.

1. Kylian Mbappé, France

No games are easy at this stage of the tournament, but France will still be heavy favourites against a tricky Morocco side. Kylian Mbappe (£10.5m) has the ability to produce attacking returns against any opposition and remains France’s biggest goal threat by some distance. 

He is the joint-leading scorer at the moment with seven goals and the favourite to get the Golden Boot, according to the markets.

France have looked the best team at the World Cup, and unsurprisingly they are also the favourites to win the tournament. 

Mbappe is nailed to start, will play the whole game and is also on penalties. He is a no-brainer pick.

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Cardiff City: Krystian Bielik and Gabriel Osho provide boost for Brian Barry-Murphy

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Head coach Brian Barry-Murphy says Cardiff City’s defensive crisis has been alleviated with the “positive” arrival of Krystian Bielik and the potential return of Gabriel Osho.

Bielik joined the Bluebirds on a three-year contract from West Bromwich Albion, while Osho has returned to training after sustaining a knee injury during the 1-1 draw against Wrexham.

In addition to Osho, Cardiff have been missing fellow centre-backs Calum Chambers, Dylan Lawlor and Will Fish through injuries.

“We’ve had relatively positive news. Gabriel Osho trained on Tuesday, so hopefully he’ll continue today,” said Barry-Murphy.

“We haven’t seen a lot of Krystian yet because of the hurried nature of this [transfer], so we’ll see how he is today in training and then make a judgement.

“As pleased as we are to have him here, I think it’s important that we don’t rush him into doing something that he’s not ready for.”

Barry-Murphy says that while Bielik’s arrival eases the defensive worries, it also offers options in central midfield.

The versatility of the ex-Derby and Birmingham player is why the Cardiff boss has been tracking him for a “very long time “.

“I think the situation was urgent probably from the time that Ryan Wintle left the club,” added Barry-Murphy.

“We’re very aware of that area of the team needing significant reinforcements, and Krystian was always the one that we wanted to bring in, if possible.

“His qualities are obvious. He’s a highly technical player who’s played at a very high level for a very long time.

“The appeal of Krystian is that we see him equally adept at playing both as a holding midfield player and as a centre-back, and whatever we think is most beneficial for the team and the opponents we face.

“If he does well enough, then he’s a player. If he doesn’t, then obviously he has strong competition in both departments.

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A CFP crystal ball, plus the top 50 NFL Draft prospects

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The Pulse Newsletter 📣 | This is The Athletic’s daily sports newsletter. Sign up here to receive The Pulse directly in your inbox.


Good morning! Get a timely hit today. Inside: 


Data: A numbers-based distraction

The worlds of the WNBA and college sports have never been more engulfed by off-court/field stories. Just look at yesterday’s Pulse to see what courts, temporary restraining orders and NIL have wrought on college sports, fair or not. And in the WNBA, this season has simply seen a parade of forced negativity that would make most leagues crumble. 

The solution, which we’ve mentioned in this space plenty of times, is to focus on the actual competition. I’ve got two tools for us to do that today, fresh off the presses. Let’s start with football: 

This week, The Athletic published its 2026 College Football Playoff projection bracket, which will be used all season, odds updating as the games happen. There are odds for making the Playoff, winning a conference (if applicable), hosting a Playoff game, getting a first-round bye and winning the whole thing. 

  • Our teams most likely to make the Playoff as Week 0 arrives: Notre Dame (76 percent), Texas Tech (72 percent), Miami (71 percent) and Ohio State (also 71). See all the data here. 

We also have brackets from three of our experts, which you can see here

On the hardwood, we have a similar tool to project the WNBA playoffs … which are just around the corner. We know the playoff teams, but we don’t know the playoff matchups. Here’s a view of the projections right now:

You can fiddle around with the whole model here. And while we’re at it, read Ian O’Connor’s column on why the WNBA is going to skyrocket when it outlasts the ongoing culture wars. Let’s hope. 

Let’s keep going:


Heartwarming? A guy who really needed this walk-off

The Braves gave the Dodgers a brutal loss last night via a Ha-Seong Kim walk-off single. A fun result, but nothing out of the ordinary, right? 

Not exactly. First, look at the reaction:

There may be no player in baseball who needed a win more than Kim, who signed a one-year, $20 million deal in Atlanta this offseason and has missed significant time because of injuries. His stat line in 32 games this season, even with last night’s heroics: .078 average with a .252 OPS. 

It’s his only hit since June, which is just astounding. Read our story from the game.


News to Know

Julio Aguilar / Getty Images

RIP, Pro Bowl
The NFL Pro Bowl is no more, The Athletic’s Jonathan Jones reported yesterday, ending a 75-year run for football’s all-star game. The NFL becomes the first major sports league to scrap its all-star competition in an era where these games have become challenging to draw interest. Instead, players will simply earn Pro Bowl honors with no game involved. 

Mike Silver has an ode to what used to be an incredibly fun event. It’s worth a read today.

More news:

  • In a follow-up to yesterday’s news, SEC officials approved stiff penalties for any coaches and/or programs who violate the new rules around transfers. Yes, LSU sat out the vote.
  • Related: Any NFL players who return to college will be ineligible for future NFL Drafts.
  • The U.S. Open confirmed Venus and Serena Williams will earn a wild-card entry into the doubles bracket. Also, Stan Wawrinka is indeed getting his own wild-card spot for his last Open after some backlash.
  • DeWanna Bonner, in her pursuit of a WNBA title, signed with the Dream. More here.
  • Meanwhile, Unrivaled announced a new round of funding that puts the league’s valuation at $650 million.
  • Jeanie Buss petitioned a court to block a move by her family to sell the Buss stake in the Lakers, calling her siblings “devious.”
  • Blake Griffin’s next career stop: late-night TV.
  • Time to worry about the Commanders? Judging by yesterday’s practice, it might be.

📰 Find more news here 24/7.


Feedback Loop: The Pulse votes for punishment

The saga of LIV Golf continued its sad arc yesterday, as the organization notified most of its employees of an impending mass layoff. It’s been a rough few weeks. 

Your opinion of LIV’s current/former golfers isn’t great, either. We asked yesterday if there should be any route for said players to rejoin the PGA Tour (which doesn’t appear open to the concept). The results:

That’s a plurality for some type of ban. We suggested a minimum of a year, and judging by some of your emails, many of you hope for longer. A solid percentage of you wanted to reopen the route Brooks Koepka took, in which he accepted certain conditions and steep financial penalties to return. Per current intel, that route isn’t open. 

Thank you, as always, for voting. And while I have you, I want your opinion on one more thing. 

ESPN confirmed to multiple outlets yesterday that it will get rid of the bottom-line ticker during its college football broadcasts, which hit me harder than expected. Is this:

  • A travesty. Bring it back ASAP. 
  • Reality. I check scores on my phone anyway.

We’ll run those results tomorrow, too. Onward:


Watch Guide

📺 NFL: Rams “at” Chargers
10 p.m. ET on NFL Network
We have a four-game slate of preseason action tonight, but this is the game with the most on the line (translated through a preseason lens), as the Rams’ backup quarterback job hasn’t been decided yet. That may sound like small potatoes, but the “away” Los Angeles team here — read: these teams share a stadium — is the Super Bowl favorite with a 38-year-old quarterback. The backup might be important! 

📺 MLB: Dodgers at Braves
7:15 p.m. ET on FS1
We’re back in Atlanta for a third straight night because a) it’s an elite pitching matchup (Yoshinobu Yamamoto versus Chris Sale) and b) it’s the best widely televised game. 

📺 WNBA: Valkyries at Liberty
8 p.m. ET on Prime Video
This one is certain to have an impact on the playoff picture we mentioned above. Find a seat.


Pulse Picks

Sure, we’re focused on college football for the moment. But where will those college football players will go in the NFL Draft? Dane Brugler has a gift for us: his top 50 players, ranked

To be clear, the Cowboys still revolve around owner Jerry Jones. But his son, Stephen Jones, could chart a different path

Ten years ago, Colin Kaepernick quietly took a knee. Now, as Jerry Brewer writes in a great column, everyone just performs

Are MLB teams really losing money? Evan Drellich answers all things labor in his mailbag

The Diamondbacks put up with Ketel Marte’s antics for a very simple reason, as Ken Rosenthal wrote. 

Need some fantasy football draft help? “The Athletic Football Show” has a live draft tonight at 7 p.m. ET. Watch on our site or on YouTube. 

Most-clicked in the newsletter yesterday: The further details of 49ers owner Jed York’s arrest. Yikes

Most-read on the website yesterday: The Pro Bowl news.

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Ipswich working on loan deal for Aston Villa’s Tammy Abraham

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Image of Tammy Abraham in an Aston Villa training top

The 28-year-old only signed a four-and-a-half year contract with the club in January after joining from Besiktas. Gareth Copley/Getty Images

Ipswich Town are working on a loan deal for Aston Villa striker Tammy Abraham.

The 28-year-old only signed a four-and-a-half year contract with the club in January after joining from Besiktas in a €21million (£18m; $24.2m) deal.

He struggled to nail down a starting spot in Unai Emery’s side, however, scoring only twice in 16 appearances in the second half of the campaign.

The Athletic reported in July that Villa were listening to offers for him this summer.

If a move progresses Abraham would be the second striker departure from Villa Park with Ollie Watkins set to leave for Al Hilal. The England international said his goodbyes to team-mates and staff on Thursday ahead of completing a £50m move to the Saudi Pro League club.

Villa are working to replace both players with Chelsea’s Nicolas Jackson and Rafael Leao of AC Milan the chosen targets.

Who are the biggest transfer overpays in Premier League history?

Tifo Football

Abraham is in his second spell with Villa, having spent the 2018-19 season on loan from Chelsea, when he helped the club to Championship promotion via the play-offs and finished as the second tier’s third-highest goalscorer.

Since leaving Chelsea in August 2021, Abraham spent four-and-a-half years in Italy and Turkey, with Roma, Milan and Besiktas. His three years in Rome was the longest of those spells, as he recorded 37 goals and 13 assists in 120 appearances.

Abraham rose to prominence in Frank Lampard’s Chelsea team during the 2019-20 season, when he received regular game-time, with the club unable to make signings that summer. He scored 15 times in 34 Premier League appearances, his strongest-ever return in the English top-flight.

Having represented England up to under-21 level, Abraham earned his first senior cap in November 2017. He has made 11 international appearances.

Ipswich have enjoyed a busy summer after securing promotion back to the Premier League with 12 new arrivals at Portman Road including Julio Enciso, Emersonn, Abdul Fatawu and Sasa Lukic.

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