Sports
Cincinnati Bengals mock schedule: A favorable draw could be more beneficial than usual
Most years, my mock schedule is largely done to poke fun at mock-draft culture, find fun concerts and games to pair with potential road trips and point out the long, questionable run of Cincinnati being forced into Thursday night divisional prime-time road trips.
All of that exists this year, but because of the unique nature of the Bengals’ roster and upheaval across the AFC North, the order of the games could actually have a real impact on the Bengals’ chances.
Welcome to Mock Schedule 2026: More than just jokes!
There’s a long line of first-year coaches, or old coaches in new situations, struggling over the first month-plus of the season as they learn on the fly. While that can be the case for every team, none more than for a new coach.
For the first time in forever, the AFC North will be dominated by that storyline. Changes with the Steelers, Browns and Ravens, along with games against the Falcons, Titans and Dolphins, put more than half the club’s games against teams with new coaches.
Just filtering for first-time NFL head coaches over the last five years, they have a .389 winning percentage in their first six games of the season. Compare that to .518 for the rest of the NFL.
Some examples buck the trend, of course, notably last year when the Bears (Ben Johnson) and Jaguars (Liam Coen) started 4-2 and both finished with division titles.
First-time HC Win% (Last 5 years)
|
Range
|
First time HC
|
Rest of NFL
|
|---|---|---|
|
Games 1-6 |
0.389 |
0.518 |
|
Games 7-12 |
0.433 |
0.512 |
|
Games 13-17 |
0.377 |
0.533 |
There’s also a drop late in the season, which likely is impacted by first-time head coaches struggling with the length of the season, but those records are also impacted by interim head coaches for teams that fired their original leader.
Still, landing those games early when the Bengals’ primary feature this season will be continuity of an offense returning all 11 starters and coaching staff that’s largely been together for years, only emphasizes the discrepancy.
When looking at what would be a best-case scenario for the Bengals when the full schedule is released Thursday, keep an eye on how many of those division games land in the first six weeks.
That would add to the advantage pointed out by Warren Sharp of Sharp Football Analysis, who charted the easiest schedules in the NFL next year based on sportbooks’ projected win totals. It showed Cincinnati with the third-easiest, in a clear tier above the middle of the pack.
NEW: NFL strength of schedule for 2026!
5 easiest schedules:
1️⃣ Lions
2️⃣ Saints
3️⃣ Bengals
4️⃣ Browns
5️⃣ Jets5 hardest schedules:
2️⃣8️⃣ Rams
2️⃣9️⃣ Cowboys
3️⃣0️⃣ Panthers
3️⃣1️⃣ Dolphins
3️⃣2️⃣ Cardinals1-32 with insight & analysis:https://t.co/iS1PFqfcxx
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) May 4, 2026
Last year, each of the top three easiest projected schedules went over their projected win total for the year, and five of the six hardest projected schedules went under their projected win total for the year.
BetMGM holds Cincinnati at a 9.5 win total over-under.
As for the mock schedule, let’s take a look at the best potential scenario for Cincinnati based on competitive advantage, road-trip add-ons and recent trends.
Remember, this is not a prediction to get the games right, but to create the best schedule possible for the Bengals and their fans.
Week 1 (9/13): vs. Steelers
The Bengals plan to try once more to make “Open In Orange” feel less like “A Clockwork Orange.” The debut of “Open in Orange” was in 2024 when they were stunned by Jerod Mayo and the Patriots in Week 1, a loss that played a large part in narrowly missing the playoffs. Last year, it came in Week 2, and Joe Burrow went down with his toe injury. Still, the early AFC North theme begins.
Ja’Marr Chase and the Bengals could look to get a fast start in the division with a Week 1 matchup versus the Steelers. (Katie Stratman / Imagn Images)
Week 2 (9/20): at Ravens
Could this game end up at 1 p.m. ET on a Sunday for the first time since 2021? Four consecutive Cincinnati games at Baltimore have been placed in prime time, where the Ravens have been nearly unbeatable. Of course, the Bengals broke the streak on Thanksgiving last year, so maybe all those trends slowly disappear.
Week 3 (9/27): vs. Browns
Three weeks and three AFC North opponents seems implausible, but the entire point of this exercise is to lay out the dream scenario.
Week 4 (10/4): at Commanders, Tottenham Stadium, London
Let’s do it again! The 10th anniversary of one of the great moments in international sporting history, when Washington and Cincinnati played to a 27-27 tie. While nobody who traveled from America overseas knew quite how to feel about a tie, the soccer community filling Wembley Stadium comfortably applauded and retreated to the pub with a smile.
Week 5 (10/11): Bye
A little early for the bye, but the weekend after an international game is probably going to decide it this year.
Week 6 (10/18): at Steelers
The first of two Dan Hoard Specials on the dream scenario. The University of Cincinnati and Bengals play-by-play legend, Hoard, would appreciate this. UC plays in Morgantown, W.Va., on Saturday. A great chance to pull off a double dip for fans and for Hoard to be handed an easy button calling both games on the weekend.
Week 7 (10/25): at Dolphins
Cincinnati went to Miami in December last year, which was an ideal time for cold Bengals fans to make the trip. This offers a treat of its own: The South Beach Seafood Festival. It features elite food, VIP chef competitions and four blocks filled with thousands of seafood fanatics on Saturday afternoon. Bon appetit!
Week 8 (11/1): vs. Ravens SNF
Bengals fans have been waiting years to get this game in prime time at home. It finally happens. The last regular-season Bengals-Ravens prime-time game in Cincinnati was in Week 2 of 2018. They met in prime time in the playoffs in January of 2023, a game remembered as “The Fumble in the Jungle.”
Week 9 (11/8): at Texans
The second Dan Hoard Special, this one a same-city double dip with the UC Bearcats playing at the Houston Cougars on Saturday.
Week 10 (11/15): vs. Jaguars
The Bengals need to host Jacksonville at some point. Might as well be here.
Week 11 (11/22): at Panthers
Charlotte is a highly underrated, fun road trip. This one connects with one of the biggest concert tours of the year. Rush is playing at The Spectrum Center on Friday and Sunday night. Fly by night and make it a big weekend.
Week 12 (11/27): vs. Chiefs, Black Friday
Bengals ownership pushed for the club to annually host the Black Friday game when it first came on the scene in 2023. Their wish wasn’t granted, but why not put one of the top games on their schedule in this time slot? Great break of the monotony for a big tilt.
The Chiefs last played at Paycor Stadium in December 2022. Joe Burrow and the Bengals won that day, 27-24.(Dylan Buell / Getty Images)
Week 13 (12/7): at Falcons, MNF
Bengals continue a national TV run, adding a Monday night game in Atlanta. The game ends up on Monday because the SEC title game is Saturday night. Double-dip road trips, they just mean more.
Week 14 (12/13): vs. Titans
Cam Ward could take a leap in Year 2, or this could be the latest ugly end to what has been an ugly stretch of football in Tennessee.
Week 15 (12/17): vs. Buccaneers, TNF
The only games expected to be in cold weather for the Bucs this year are at Cincinnati and Chicago. Tampa Bay has not played in a game with the temperature below 32 degrees since Christmas Eve of 2000. They’ve played nine games in temperatures of 40 degrees or less this century, going 2-7. Cincinnati would love to bring the Bucs to December for a night game on a short week.
Week 16 (12/27): at Colts
Keeping travel to a minimum this time of year is always ideal. This represents one of the shortest trips between two cities in the entire NFL.
Week 17 (1/3): vs. Saints
Same scenario as the Bucs. New Orleans has only played in four games below freezing this century (1-3). Bringing the Saints up to Cincinnati in the middle of winter would offer a definite advantage.
Week 18 (1/10): at Browns
Cleveland will likely be chanting for Arch Manning by this point. All eyes have appeared focused on the 2027 QB draft, and that will likely be on the mind as this season wraps up.
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Czech Rep 0 – 2 England
Pavel Sulc’s first-half red card helped England recover from a nervy start to register an Anthony Gordon-inspired 2-0 Nations League win over the Czech Republic in Prague.
While the Three Lions toiled in the early stages and nearly fell behind twice to presentable chances wasted by Sulc, Barcelona winger Gordon, supported by former Newcastle team-mate Lewis Hall, was a threat throughout. He came close to teeing up an opener while the two sides were still 11 vs 11, but saw Morgan Rogers curl his low cross against the far post on the turn.
Even once Sulc had been dismissed following a VAR review for a studs-up challenge on the shin of Elliot Anderson, it took a reshuffle from Thomas Tuchel and the half-time arrival of Eberechi Eze for many of his team-mates to catch up following a particularly nervous and passive opening period from the Three Lions.
But once they did, it was Gordon who took full advantage less than two minutes after the restart to stoop and turn Trent Alexander-Arnold’s typically inviting cross home, netting for the third competitive game in a row.
Alexander-Arnold later revealed to ITV: “I spoke to Anthony at half-time and I said if I’m getting in the half spaces and putting them [crosses] in, make sure you get to the back post.
“You don’t expect it to happen that quickly, but it did and it worked.”
Hall, too, nearly got his just desserts when his dangerous low delivery was turned onto his own post by Wolves defender Ladislav Krejci with Rogers sniffing.
Coincidentally it would be a mix of Rogers and a deflection off Krejci that would tee-up Harry Kane, who else, to sweep home a second with England’s next attack to put the result beyond doubt and add his 87th international goal.
That gave Tuchel the confidence to give out two competitive debuts to Alex Scott and Rio Ngumoha, both introduced shortly afterwards.
Scott would come within inches of a debut goal while Rogers and Eze both also went lose to adding to England’s lead, but the Three Lions would at least see out a comfortable and much-needed win to get their Nations League campaign off the ground at the second attempt.
The key moments from Prague
5: CHANCE! A simple ball over the top is misjudged by Anderson and reaches Sulc, who holds off Trevor Chalobah but is denied by James Trafford when the goalkeeper is quick off his line.
13: SULC AGAIN! Sulc is given space to run in outside the area and is hesitant to take a shot, before eventually seeing an effort blocked by Chalobah’s head.
16: OFF THE POST! Out of nothing England nearly strike as Rogers turns on the ball and fires against the far post from Gordon’s low cross.
21: CLOSE! Gordon himself goes close next, bending just wide after cutting in off the flank.
25: RED CARD! Having twice gone close for the hosts, Czech player of the year Sulc sees a yellow card upgraded to a red by VAR for a high lunge on Anderson.
38: GORDON DANGER! The flying winger gets beyond his man and whips a low ball in which Michal Sadilek bundles behind, only just beyond his own goalframe.
45: KANE CHANCE! Captain Kane goes close in his first chance of the game, turning and shooting from 20 yards and forcing Matej Kovar into a one-handed stop.
46: SUB! Eze is brought on for Myles Lewis-Skelly at the interval to give England’s midfield more attacking threat.
47: GOAL! The Three Lions get their second half off to the perfect start as Alexander-Arnold’s wicked cross is headed home by a stooping Gordon.
63: OFF THE POST! Another low cross nearly results in an own goal as Hall’s delivery is turned onto his own post by Krejci.
69: GOAL! Rogers and Krejci compete for a loose ball which falls to Kane, who makes no mistake sweeping home into the far corner.
72: SUBS! Kane and Gordon make way to give Ngumoha and Scott their competitive debuts.
87: CHANCE! Scott goes close on debut with a rising effort which flies just over from 20 yards.
Tuchel: We needed more dynamism
England head coach Thomas Tuchel on ITV:
“We played very professionally in the second half. We stepped up, we needed to be a bit more dynamic and put a bit more urgency into our play.
“We kept the intensity going and it was very professional. The effort was still there, it was a deserved victory. It’s a bit strange to get an early red card, it’s not the best for the spectators or the teams.
“But we got an important win, and that’s what counts.”
Gordon: I’ve been dying to play with Trent
England goalscorer and man-of-the-match Anthony Gordon on ITV:
“I make that run time and time again and only a certain type of player has got the technique, ability and bravery to make the mistake playing that pass.
“Credit to Trent, that’s why he’s so good. I’ve been dying to play with him for that reason.
“Trent’s had his own journey with England. He would have liked to have played more than he has but he’s a great character. He’s a great addition.”
Alexander-Arnold: I always believed I would play for England again
England returnee Trent Alexander-Arnold on ITV:
“It was amazing, always an honour and pleasure to represent my country.
“It’s been a long time but I’ve always believed that I can play for England and I always want to.
“The belief is always there, it’s about proving it at club level. The manager gave me the chance tonight to play and to try to follow what he asked of me to the best of my ability. Hopefully he’s happy with how I played.”
Analysis: Alexander-Arnold showed what England have been missing
Sky Sports News’ Rob Dorsett in Prague:
“Trent Alexander-Arnold was always going to make the headlines in his first start for two years.
“There was one moment of real class and plenty of other impressive cameos which showed Tuchel – and the England supporters – what they’ve been missing for so long.
“His curling cross at the start of the second half which pin-pointed Anthony Gordon’s head was joyous, as was the gleeful way the Barcelona man scored his third England goal in as many matches. Gordon has really blossomed into one of England’s most exciting and important attacking players.
“Overall, England did enough. There will be plenty of fans who will think they should have put Czech Republic to the sword, especially seeing as the home side played for over an hour with 10-men.
“But against the deepest of deep blocks, England worked hard to eventually get the breakthrough and Kane’s sharp finish sealed a solid if unspectacular victory.
“There were no obvious injuries, which is a plus. The second of four matches in 11 days won’t live long in the memory, but job done for Tuchel.”
England’s upcoming Nations League Group A3 fixtures
Saturday October 3: Croatia (A), kick-off 5pm
Tuesday October 6: Czech Republic (H), kick-off 7.45pm
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Trent Alexander-Arnold ‘always believed’ he would play for England again after first start in over two years | Football News
Trent Alexander-Arnold “always believed” he could play for England again following his period in the international wilderness under Thomas Tuchel.
The 27-year-old defender made his first start for the Three Lions in almost two years in the 2-0 win over Czech Republic.
Alexander-Arnold had fallen out of favour under Tuchel over the past year or so, missing out on the World Cup squad this summer.
The Real Madrid player’s last appearance for the national team came in June 2025, in a World Cup qualifier against Andorra.
But the former Liverpool defender made a good impression on his return, grabbing an assist for Anthony Gordon’s opening goal as England swatted aside 10-man Czech Republic.
Alexander-Arnold told ITV Sport: “It was amazing, always an honour and pleasure to represent my country.
“It’s been a long time but I’ve always believed that I can play for England and I always want to.
“The belief is always there, it’s about proving it at club level. The manager gave me the chance tonight to play and to try to follow what he asked of me to the best of my ability. Hopefully he’s happy with how I played.”
On England’s overall performance, he added: “I think it was good. They go down to 10 and there’s more pressure on us to win, but it actually makes it more difficult. They get very compact and defend with a lot of players, we have a lot of the ball but it’s hard to break them down.
“We got that early on in the second half which is what we needed. The longer that game goes on as a 0-0, it gets harder, they gain belief they can hold out and it was good to get that second goal.”
Gordon was full of praise for Alexander-Arnold’s assist that opened the scoring for England.
He said: “I make that run time and time again and only a certain type of player has got the technique, ability and bravery to make the mistake playing that pass. Credit to Trent, that’s why he’s so good. I’ve been dying to play with him for that reason.
“Trent’s had his own journey with England. He would have liked to have played more than he has but he’s a great character. He’s a great addition.”
Tuchel praises Alexander-Arnold performance
England head coach Thomas Tuchel speaking to ITV on the quality of Alexander-Arnold’s assist:
“Yeah, not a lot could convert it! There was an awful lot for him to do, to guide it into the far post was an excellent finish. A good pass and a good goal.
“[Alexander-Arnold and Lewis Hall] were both good. The position in the second half suited Trent a little bit more than in the first half, and Lewis was excellent on the other side.
“We’ve used all outfield players in the first two games and credit to them.”
England’s upcoming Nations League Group A3 fixtures
Saturday October 3: Croatia (A), kick-off 5pm
Tuesday October 6: Czech Republic (H), kick-off 7.45pm
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