Sports
In battle over MLB salary cap, players and owners spar over the meaning of ‘50/50’
In baseball, going halfsies is a really controversial idea.
A formal revenue split between players and owners is a key feature of a salary-cap system, which Major League Baseball’s owners want to introduce.
“Our salary cap and floor proposal levels the playing field while sharing baseball revenue with the players 50-50, which means players and clubs would share equally as revenue grows,” said Glen Caplin, an MLB spokesperson, in a statement to The Athletic.
The players’ union has a long list of reasons it’s opposed to MLB’s cap setup. Among them: Players already receive “well over” half the industry’s annual $12 billion haul. But the union also thinks the league is wrong to paint its proposal as even-steven.
“It’s no surprise that MLB would resort to deception in framing their salary cap proposals as ‘sharing equally,’” Bruce Meyer, the interim head of the Players Association, said in his own statement. “MLB hasn’t proposed a 50-50 ‘split’ of revenues. Any suggestion otherwise is misleading propaganda.”
When it comes to the revenue divide in a cap system, there’s crucial information to understand beyond just the percentage — namely, the denominator. What would be included, and what would be taken off the top, from the pot of money the sides would share?
The answer is laid out in a lengthy proposal MLB made on May 28, which was reviewed by The Athletic and includes a calculation MLB is dubbing just “baseball revenue,” or BR.
It has no shortage of deductions.
MLB could take up to 17 percent of local revenues off the top annually as expenses, plus up to 22 percent of national revenues. Plus, some areas would have no expense cap, such as construction and renovation costs for ballparks, including spring-training facilities.
The league-run TV station MLB Network would have no deduction limit, and for 2027 and 2028, neither would costs from any team’s local broadcasts.
The league also wants unlimited deductions for what it broadly termed “new ventures.”
“MLB’s so-called revenue ‘split’ is calculated only after skimming billions off the top in supposed expenses and exclusions,” Meyer continued in his statement. “There is also no ‘sharing equally’ in franchise value growth, expansion fees, or the vast amounts of revenues being generated around ballparks across the league.”
While it might come as a surprise, the revenue split is probably the most important piece of a cap system — even more so than the upper and lower limits on salary each team would have to respect. The split is the real salary cap.
That’s because after each season, player salaries would be adjusted to make sure players and owners alike get their designated percentage of revenue. For this reason, the league wants players to put up to 10 percent of their salaries into escrow each year.
These accounting gymnastics may sound familiar to those who follow other sports.
In the National Basketball Association, the pool of money that’s doled out is known as basketball-related income, or BRI. In the National Hockey League, the tabulation is called hockey-related revenue, or HRR.
“The proposed definition of baseball revenue aligns closely with the proven approaches used in other leagues,” Caplin said. “MLB player compensation has grown more slowly than player compensation in the other leagues.”
All the other leagues indeed permit deductions, but the NFL has notably fewer compared to the NBA and NHL, and to MLB’s desired setup.
None of the other cap leagues share the proceeds of franchise sales with players, either. Despite this, the revenue split in the NHL is still regularly discussed as “50-50.”
But overall, the baseball union portrays MLB’s proposal as a Frankenstein assembled from the least generous pieces of other leagues.
Most any dollar that teams spend on players would count against the players’ share of BR. That includes everything from amateur-signing bonuses, retirement benefits and moving expenses, to interpreters and clubhouse meals.
“The cap system they proposed is not just bad for all the reasons that we believe caps systems are always bad,” Meyer said in June. “They’ve effectively managed to cobble together the worst system for players in any of the major sports, and (it’s) not even close.”
Under a cap, another key matter would have to be negotiated: how often the union could ask for a financial audit of the league office and the 30 teams.
The league proposed 10 audits, which would be fewer than are available in other cap systems. The NBA union is permitted an average of 15 per year, while the unions in the NFL and NHL have no limit.
Caplin said that MLB is providing “comparable independent audit rights and protections as the other unions.”
Baking the pie
In cap systems, changes to the pot can make a big difference, even if the percentage split is unaltered.
During the NBA’s last round of bargaining in 2023, basketball players agreed to the introduction of “the second apron,” a spending threshold with penalties so significant for teams that cross it that it has dampened some players’ markets in free agency.
The union now would like to change that provision. But one of the tradeoffs for agreeing to it in the first place was a newly shared revenue stream.
Before 2023, believe it or not, basketball players did not have a cut of licensed merchandise unless the item had a player’s name or image on it. A cap with a New York Knicks logo, for example, didn’t count toward the players’ share. Once it did, the pie grew by about $160 million.
In MLB, the league wants to put revenue from traditional buckets into the pie: things like ticket sales, merchandise, broadcasts and beer. (And, yes, hats.)
Suite sales for gamedays and seat licenses would count, as would 80 percent of naming rights for a stadium. Gameday parking in a half-mile radius is included too.
But players would be largely walled off from ancillary businesses teams operate — moneymakers that players will always want a slice of, and owners will always try to shield.
Under MLB’s proposal, land sales and leases around stadiums would not be divided with players.
The league also formally addresses what it calls “ballpark districts,” mixed-use developments around stadiums that some owners have built. A bit of the revenue from these would be shared by the players — but not much.
The league proposal counts eight teams as having a bona fide district: the Atlanta Braves, Chicago Cubs, Colorado Rockies, Pittsburgh Pirates, San Francisco Giants, Seattle Mariners, St. Louis Cardinals and Texas Rangers.
The Atlanta Braves’ Battery district would be subject to the revenue split, to an extent. (Carmen Mandato / Getty Images)
As a publicly traded organization that has to regularly release financial information, the Braves reported that their district brought in $97 million in 2025.
What would be shared from these areas? During an MLB event, teams would fully share parking fees within the district. Plus, 20 percent of the revenue from signage within a ballpark district and its parking areas would go into the pot.
If some restaurants and bars open only seasonally in a ballpark district, their revenues would count too — but only on game days. That means owners would not share a cut from restaurants that operate year-round. (MLB declined to specify how many district eateries currently operate part-time.)
MLB and the teams would share some income related to sports gambling. But, unsurprisingly, the new casino that New York Mets owner Steve Cohen plans to build near his team’s ballpark would not directly benefit players.
Earnings from brick-and-mortar casinos and sportsbooks would only count if the casino’s business is “predominantly derived from gambling on MLB.” (MLB declined to say whether any such casino exists.)
Some of the stipulations in MLB’s proposal are almost amusingly in the weeds.
Paid mascot appearances do count toward the pool. And while MLB does not want to share access fees for film shoots at a ballpark, it is offering to share ATM fees.
For billboards and signs the team sells outside of a stadium, MLB offered to put 80 percent of revenues into BR, rather than a full 100. To qualify, such ads would need to be within a half-mile radius “as measured from home plate.”
A tricky calculation
If baseball winds up with a cap and a predetermined revenue divide, the conversation about BR would never end. Both the league and the union would need full-time staff in place to monitor BR and handle disputes over it.
In other leagues, the percentage split has sometimes led to work stoppages. But the worst disagreements aside, BR would be a major topic every time a new collective bargaining agreement is negotiated.
Baseball’s current negotiation is still in its early stages, which means neither side has made its best offer. Down the line, MLB presumably would be willing to offer players a better version.
“We stand ready to bargain on this issue at the table,” Caplin said of the revenue plan.
It seems unlikely, however, that the union will send a direct counter-proposal for the calculation of BR. Players do not want a cap at all, and are therefore loath to negotiate any of its particular workings.
That’s too bad, according to MLB, which suggests players are losing out in the current system because their earnings are not formally tied to revenues.
“Unlike in other sports, major-league player compensation has not kept up with revenue growth,” Caplin said. “Since 2003, while MLB revenue has grown 247 percent, player payroll has grown at 149 percent.”
Meyer does not believe MLB is actually trying to help players, however.
“The league’s proposal is to slash overall player compensation from where it stands now by hundreds of millions, lock it in, and guarantee it can never grow more than revenues again,” Meyer said. “If players had agreed to a deal like the one that has been proposed at any time in the past two decades, their losses would be in the billions.”
And, in an unsurprising development, the league and the union also again disagree on the accounting.
Meyer said that Caplin appears to be using an “entirely different definition of revenue” than the league did in its proposal for BR. And besides that, Meyer said, the league’s timeframe is cherry-picked.
“As usual, the league’s calculation is misleading,” Meyer said. “It stretches back to 2003 for a reason, because an examination of more recent trends in revenue and overall player compensation would show the two have closely tracked one another. In fact, since 2022, growth in overall player compensation has exceeded revenue growth.”
In baseball and everywhere else, when billions of dollars are on the line, the things that sound simple usually aren’t.
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Sports
MLB Power Rankings: Can last year’s trade deadline tell us about each team’s next move?
Every week, we ask a selected group of our baseball writers — local and national — to rank the teams from first to worst. Here are the collective results.
We have unmistakably entered trade season. It kicked off this weekend with the Red Sox and Nationals swapping Connelly Early for Curtis Mead, and it will continue through Monday’s always frantic trade deadline.
And if last year is any indication, it could be a slow build to a final flurry.
The next time we do Power Rankings, the trade deadline will have come and gone, and we’ll be better able to look ahead. For this week, we’re going to look back. Are teams up or down compared to this time last year, and what does that tell us about their direction since the 2025 trade deadline? And what might they be prepared to do in the next week?
All stats are through Monday morning unless otherwise noted.
Record: 67-39
Last Power Ranking: 1
Power Ranking a year ago: 1
How they reacted: Trading for depth pieces and … other teams’ minor-league prospects?
This year: All in, as always
Was last year’s Dodger deadline a sign of arrogance, or simply a sign that they had run out of wants and needs? They traded for Alex Call as a RHP-masher off the bench, and they got a few innings of Brock Stewart, but that was mostly it at the major-league level. Pretty cute for a team that had to be saved by Miguel freaking Rojas at the last second.
The strangest part about the last Dodgers deadline, though, is how much effort they spent acquiring other teams’ prospects. This is when they wormed their way into James Tibbs III, who might be the key piece in another deadline deal in a much different way. Basically, it was a deadline when the Dodgers reminded you that they’re smarter than everyone else, as they’re wont to do. — Grant Brisbee
Record: 66-40
Last Power Ranking: 2
Power Ranking a year ago: 4
How they reacted: Traded for Danny Jansen, Shelby Miller, Jordan Montgomery and Nestor Cortes
This year: More motivated?
At last year’s deadline, the Brewers had the best record in the sport, and their version of “going for it” was … I mean, take another look at those names. None of them are still with the team, so — even if you didn’t know anything else about them, which you definitely do — you can’t make the argument that those moves were made for 2026 or beyond.
This year, Milwaukee still holds a big division lead over a very good Cubs team, and Jacob Misiorowski looks like just the sort of ace who could dominate a postseason series or three.
They have the farm system to make a big splash. It feels imperative that they operate with a bit more urgency this year. — Levi Weaver
Record: 62-44
Last Power Ranking: 4
Power Ranking a year ago: 24
How they reacted: Nothing of consequence at the deadline
This year: Much, much better
The Braves were bad last year, but they weren’t supposed to be, and the front office responded by doing very little at the trade deadline. They mostly kept their roster together for another run in 2026, and it’s worked. The Braves were bad in June but have otherwise been among the top teams in baseball all season. It’s been a significant return-to-form for a team that won the World Series in 2021 but hasn’t been able to capture that same level of excellence in the five years since. This is the closest the Braves have come, and they seem poised to be far more aggressive at this year’s deadline. A starting pitcher is their most obvious need, though an extra bat off the bench wouldn’t hurt. — Chad Jennings
Record: 60-46
Last Power Ranking: 3
Power Ranking a year ago: 8
How they reacted: Eight trades, mostly for infielders and relievers
This year: About the same
The Yankees have moved up a bit in our Power Rankings from a year ago, but they’re once again approaching the deadline in need of help in the infield and bullpen (though this year, they could also use another catcher, and significant injuries are piling up). The Yankees’ 2025 trade deadline was more quantity than quality — David Bednar and Ryan McMahon were the big additions, along with two other relievers and two other infielders — and they have multiple needs again this year. Maybe this time they’ll add a singular splash to what could be, again, a bunch of moving pieces. — Jennings
Record: 62-43
Last Power Ranking: 5
Power Ranking a year ago: T-15
How they reacted: Typical blend of buying and selling
This year: We shall see
The Rays seem to be perpetually doing several things at once, and their approach to last year’s trade deadline was another example. They bought and sold in equal measure, including a clever swap of starting pitcher Taj Bradley for reliever Griffin Jax (whom the Rays have since converted to the rotation with strong results). The Rays are definitely better today than they were a year ago. The question is, how much will that change their approach? Could a weak American League give them the smell of blood in the water and spur a more aggressive trade deadline? Or will the Rays stick with their tried-and-true game plan that’s rarely eye-popping but often yields results? — Jennings
Record: 60-46
Last Power Ranking: 6
Power Ranking a year ago: 3
How they reacted: Traded for Taylor Rogers, Willi Castro, Andrew Kittredge and Michael Soroka
This year: The same, but without the big Pete Crow-Armstrong slump
The Cubs have admirably battled through a litany of pitcher injuries this year, and their lead as the first National League wild-card team looks — barring some complete disaster — relatively comfortable. But the Cubs didn’t go out and sign Alex Bregman this winter just to be an early-exit playoff team.
They’ve been connected (sometimes by simple logic) to a ton of pitchers in recent trade rumors; Aaron Civale is a reasonable stopgap to start the acquisitions (particularly with Jameson Taillon being DFA’d), but he won’t be the only move. They’re getting an MVP-type season from Crow-Armstrong that they just can’t let go to waste. I expect them to be aggressive in acquiring multiple pitchers over the next week. — Weaver
Record: 55-50
Last Power Ranking: 9
Power Ranking a year ago: 11
How they reacted: Minimal additions with costly results
This year: About the same
For three months, the Red Sox looked far worse than last year, and for the past month, they’ve looked far better. The end result is a team that’s once again in playoff contention but without the kind of success that demands an all-in approach at the trade deadline. We’ve already seen the Red Sox trade away some of their rotation depth (Connelly Early) in pursuit of an offensive upgrade (Curtis Mead). They could continue to thread the needle while trying to avoid last year’s trade deadline fiasco. In that deal, they acquired minimal upgrades (Steven Matz was good in the bullpen, but Dustin May was awful in the rotation) in trades that cost them what is now a big-league third baseman (Blaze Jordan) and a Top 50 overall prospect (James Tibbs III). — Jennings
Record: 55-50
Last Power Ranking: 10
Power Ranking a year ago: 29
How they reacted: Light sellers
This year: Is it time to jump the gun?
It is always a little surprising to me when I look to see when the White Sox last finished over .500. Oh right, it was only 2022. They made the playoffs in 2021!
Maybe it’s just that losing 101, 121 and 102 games in the 2023-25 seasons was such a miserable run that it seemed like a decade.
How the White Sox view this year’s deadline might rest, in part, on whether they feel the same way. Their rebuild didn’t seem destined to come to fruition until next year, at the earliest. Instead, they’re in first place in the American League Central.
They’ll certainly be buyers of some sort, but it’s not like they’re one arm or bat away from being a World Series contender (even in this year’s AL … probably). The logical move would be to look for guys who are under team control for the next few years, even if that means playing the hybrid role and trading an Erick Fedde-type or a Trevor Richards-type. But if they really want to go for it, the cost will be higher and involve some prospects that might hurt in a year or two.
But I suppose pain is something the White Sox have a lot of recent experience enduring. — Weaver
Record: 57-50
Last Power Ranking: 7
Power Ranking a year ago: 5
How they reacted: Trade for Harrison Bader, blockbuster for Jhoan Duran
This year: About the same
The Phillies are lower in our Power Rankings, but their status is basically unchanged from a year ago. They remain World Series contenders, perpetually in need of an outfield bat and a bullpen arm (and a back-end starter wouldn’t hurt, either). Their lower ranking this season is mostly a product of their horrendous start (though they haven’t been great since the All-Star break, either). This is a flawed team with a lot of championship-caliber pieces and an aggressive head of baseball operations who will undoubtedly make another move or two in pursuit of a championship while this core is still intact. — Jennings
Record: 55-52
Last Power Ranking: 11
Power Ranking a year ago: 27
How they reacted: Finding better homes for a handful of players, including Ke’Bryan Hayes
This year: Significantly better
The last time the Pirates finished over .500 was 2018. The last time they made the playoffs was 2015. This winter, they went out and (finally) spent some money on free agents, then traded for some impact bats. They were never going to be a worst-to-first Cinderella story, but they’ve spent most of the season in or near a wild-card position.
They probably don’t — at least traditionally speaking — have the roster to justify a big deadline buy. But there’s something to be said for seeing a light at the end of a long dismal tunnel and doing whatever it takes to get there. — Weaver
How many players will the Mets trade by the deadline?
Ken Rosenthal and Johnny Sweet
Record: 54-53
Last Power Ranking: 16
Power Ranking a year ago: 28
How they reacted: Made five trades, selling mostly rentals
This year: Feeling better
Obvious sellers at last year’s trade deadline — and again this winter when they traded MacKenzie Gore — the Nationals now find themselves somewhere in between buying and selling. Their offense has kept them on the edges of the wild-card race, while their lack of pitching has kept them out of any serious World Series conversation. Their weekend trade of infielder Curtis Mead for starting pitcher Connelly Early is indicative of a team that’s now trying to find a better balance rather than rebuilding almost from scratch. The Nationals are not a finished product, but this season has seen them move significantly in the right direction. — Jennings
Record: 55-52
Last Power Ranking: 17
Power Ranking a year ago: 21
How they reacted: Enthusiastically selling
This year: Buying, but it’s complicated
The Diamondbacks had a busy deadline last year, trading half of their infield to the Mariners, as well as sending longtime starter Merrill Kelly to the Rangers. In the offseason, they even re-signed Kelly, allowing them to have their cake and eat it too. By “eat their cake,” I suppose we mean “watching Kelly give up two or three runs in five innings until the heat death of the universe,” but they’re doing things their own way.
They’re a strong-enough team to consider going for it, especially considering that Ketel Marte isn’t getting any younger. They probably won’t go all in and trade from a relatively deep farm system, but they could easily claim a wild-card spot with a little help. — Brisbee
Record: 52-55
Last Power Ranking: 12
Power Ranking a year ago: 10
How they reacted: By trading for BEEF
This year: More beef, please
Last deadline, the Mariners acquired Eugenio Suárez and Josh Naylor in an effort to beef up their lineup, and by gum, it almost got them their first pennant. While they could certainly use reliever Brandyn Garcia — currently sporting a 2.28 ERA in the Diamondbacks’ bullpen after being a part of the Naylor deal — their more pressing concern is with their lineup. Especially in the middle of their lineup, considering that Naylor isn’t doing anything.
It’s the Mariners, so expect a trade that absolutely floors you, a trade that makes good, practical sense, and a trade that you’ll have strong opinions about in 2029. It is their way. Their fans have to hope the Mariners can finish the job the last deadline got them oh-so-close to. — Brisbee
Record: 54-52
Last Power Ranking: 15
Power Ranking a year ago: 13
How they reacted: Borderline-delusional optimism, trading for Merrill Kelly, Phil Maton and Danny Couloumbe
This year: Agonizingly the same
This feels like such a fitting exercise for this team in particular. Last year, the Rangers were middle of the pack, and after making a few moves to add to the roster — most notably, a trade for MacKenzie Gore during the offseason — they are … still around the middle of the pack.
[Reaches into pocket, “But not for me!”-style]
Anyway, they’re in first place. They just won three of four from the Mariners, and in this year’s AL West, two games over .500 is good enough for a division lead. You’d like to think that the word “fortunately” should be in that sentence somewhere — winning the division would be great, right? — but with a farm system depleted by years of buying, it seems like this year’s team is built to kickstart a rebuild. Instead, it is balancing perilously between beefing up a thin farm system and a mandate from the rest of the division to go ahead and accept this gift.
If there’s any tale of caution to be gleaned from last year, it’s that Kelly was worth 0.0 bWAR over 55 innings, so the prospects the Rangers traded for him — Mitch Bratt, David Hagaman and Kohl Drake — now look like a big overpay. — Weaver
Record: 54-53
Last Power Ranking: 14
Power Ranking a year ago: 19
How they reacted: Traded away Shane Bieber and Paul Sewald
This year: Almost the same, except rated higher here
Last year at the deadline, the Guardians were in second place in the AL Central with a .500 record. This year, they’re in second place in the AL Central with a .505 record.
The difference? Last year, they were nine games behind the Tigers and three games out of a wild-card spot. This year, they’re much closer to a White Sox team that — while exciting — is still pretty unproven. Weird how the surroundings can change the calculus, isn’t it?
Of course, there’s also the recent memory of what a good second half can do. Last year’s team orchestrated arguably the greatest comeback of all time, winning the division after trailing by as many as 15 1/2 games in early July. You can’t count on doing the unprecedented in back-to-back years, but this would at least appear to be a more winnable division than last year. I expect them to add to the lineup. — Weaver
Record: 53-53
Last Power Ranking: 13
Power Ranking a year ago: 17
How they reacted: A long-awaited sell-off
This year: Buy? Sell? Who’s to say?
The Cardinals have finished under .500 twice in the last three seasons. This might not sound like a tragedy to you, but before that, they’d finished under .500 just once this century. This is not a team that rebuilds. So when it made standard rebuilding-team trades — trading its closer for a top prospect, for example — it was the clearest sign that a new era had begun.
Just kidding! This year, the Cardinals are in the thick of a muddled wild-card race, and they’re ostensibly buying. Unless they get an offer they can’t refuse that helps them more for the future. They could use some more pitching, but they could also use more help for future seasons. They’re one of the most fascinating teams to watch — their play over the next week might tip the scales. — Brisbee
Record: 53-54
Last Power Ranking: 8
Power Ranking a year ago: 22
How they reacted: Sold slightly at the trade deadline
This year: About the same
If we had done this a few weeks ago, we would have said the Marlins were much, much better than a year ago, but a prolonged losing streak, which they snapped Monday night, has dumped Miami back into familiar territory. The Marlins are back below .500, and any thought of being sneaky playoff contenders — and thus trade deadline buyers — is much harder to justify. Instead, the they could be heading for a trade deadline similar to last year when they were minor sellers, trading away Nick Fortes and Jesús Sánchez. If they decide to sell, the Marlins should have some pitchers with value, but that would be a disappointing turn of events for a team that seemed poised to add. — Jennings
Record: 50-57
Last Power Ranking: 18
Power Ranking a year ago: 7
How they reacted: Acquired Charlie Morton, Codi Heuer, Paul Sewald, Kyle Finnegan, Rafael Montero, Chris Paddack and Randy Dobnak, then had a monthslong fainting spell
This year: Yeeesh
You can’t say the Tigers didn’t go for it at last year’s deadline, and you can’t blame them for putting the pedal down (even if the Montero for Jim Jarvis trade hurts now). After all, they were coming off a breakout year in 2024 and led the division by nine games at the deadline. Alas, they proceeded to pull off a catastrophic collapse, frittering away the Central title over the back half of the season.
This year started much the same way the last one ended (many, many losses). But they’ve been — more or less successfully (??) — trying to dig their way out of that hole since the start of June. Under normal circumstances, you could maybe justify a hold-and-see deadline. But uh … these are not normal circumstances. They’re still the most intriguing team at this year’s deadline, and it’s 100 percent down to the keep-or-trade conundrum with Tarik Skubal — Weaver
Record: 53-53
Last Power Ranking: 19
Power Ranking a year ago: 12
How they reacted: By trading one of the best prospects in baseball for Mason Miller
This year: Trying to do the reverse, perhaps, while still buying? It’s complicated
Leo De Vries is currently in Double A for the Athletics, hitting .287/.381/.446 and playing strong defense at short. He is also 19 years old. For all of their A.J. Preller-tinted madness at the deadline every year, the Padres haven’t regretted too many of their biggest trades, with the (very) large exception of James Wood and CJ Abrams as the cost for acquiring Juan Soto.
That was the understandable price of a young Hall of Famer in his prime, though. If De Vries becomes a star, the Mason Miller trade will be remembered differently. Miller has done everything asked of him, but he wasn’t the missing piece, and now he might have to be traded to get the prospects or starting pitcher needed to fuel another frenetic run. It’s a weird, fluid situation. Which is to say, business as usual for the Padres. — Brisbee
Record: 53-54
Last Power Ranking: 20
Power Ranking a year ago: 20
How they reacted: Roster vomit
This year: Holding down their food
If you’ve ever patted a sick kid on the back and said “There, there … just get it all out,” then you understand what I mean. Just get rid of everything that isn’t attached, and then we’ll get you a popsicle.
From a wins-and-losses perspective, I don’t think the Twins are all that surprising this year, but from a standings perspective, well … who could have predicted such a tepid American League? By keeping a few key pillars around (most notably Joe Ryan and Byron Buxton) and getting some good contributions from guys making a name for themselves (see: Taj Bradley, Yoendrys Gómez), they’re hanging around in the AL.
I still think it could go either way for them at the deadline. Let’s see how the next week goes. — Weaver
Record: 52-55
Last Power Ranking: 23
Power Ranking a year ago: 25
How they reacted: Sold a bunch of pending free agents
This year: About the same
When the Orioles sold at last year’s trade deadline, the hope was that 2025 was a momentary blip. They traded away eight big-league players, but almost all were heading to free agency, and this 2026 season was supposed to be a return to the promise of 2023 and 2024. Instead, it’s been a continuation of last season’s disappointment. The American League is bad enough that even a sub-.500 team could reasonably hope to stay in the playoff race — the Orioles’ playoff odds are roughly 20 percent on FanGraphs — but are the Orioles really poised to be significant buyers? If they repeat last year’s formula, Taylor Ward and Trevor Rogers are potential rentals with trade value. — Jennings
Record: 53-55
Last Power Ranking: T-21
Power Ranking a year ago: 9
How they reacted: By accepting Carlos Correa back on a factory recall
This year: Buying, even though they’re under .500
It’s a weak AL West this season, folks. A really, really weak AL West. Remember that year when the Astros were absolutely cooked, but the rest of the division puttered around and allowed them to zoom back and steal the division title? It feels like every season at this point, and the Astros aren’t even pretending to do the will-they-or-won’t-they. They’re buyers.
It almost makes sense, considering they’re witnessing the power of a fully armed and operational Yordan Alvarez this season, and their needs are very clearly defined. They could use a left-handed bat and some more starting pitching. Still, they have the kinds of players — Josh Hader, especially — who could help them perform a quick reload by trading them away. We’ll see if they can justify the confidence of the front office likely to keep them. — Brisbee
Record: 49-58
Last Power Ranking: T-21
Power Ranking a year ago: 6
How they reacted: Four trades, mostly for pitchers
This year: Much, much worse
Coming off an American League pennant and a thrilling, oh-so-close World Series, the Blue Jays seemed ready to make another run at a championship and perhaps finish the job. Instead, they’ve been banged up, their lineup has radically underperformed, and they could be — probably should be — trade deadline sellers. This season isn’t a complete lost cause, but getting back in the race would require a lot of resurgent performances down the stretch. Might be more prudent to trade notable pending free agents (Kevin Gausman, Daulton Varsho, George Springer) and try to make another run at full strength next year. — Jennings
Record: 49-55
Last Power Ranking: T-24
Power Ranking a year ago: 14
How they reacted: Acquired Ke’Bryan Hayes (for Taylor Rogers), Zack Littell, Miguel Andujar
This year: Back to the drawing board
After making the playoffs last year, the Reds started 2026 by finishing April in first place. That has clearly changed, as injuries and underperformance have tanked them back into the NL Central cellar.
Their pitching depth is still impressive, and there’s potential for a bounce-back next season, but this year’s hope appears to be well into the rear-view mirror. They’ll likely trade off a few big-league pieces and reload for the future. — Weaver
Record: 45-61
Last Power Ranking: 26
Power Ranking a year ago: 15
How they reacted: A modest, necessary selloff
This year: More of the same, unless …
That’s right. Last year, the Giants were a normal baseball team, and they were about to pick up manager Bob Melvin’s option. In meme terms, it went something like this:

The Giants would probably like to trade at least one of their infielders who isn’t Luis Arraez, considering the emergence of Casey Schmitt as an everyday player and 30-homer threat. However, those infielders all make a lot of money, so deals would be tricky. They could also trade one of the younger players under contract, such as Schmitt, Heliot Ramos or Jung Hoo Lee in exchange for much shinier prospects, completely blowing up the roster (and the deadline).
What’s most likely, though, is a simple succession of free-agent rentals being traded for modest returns, a bog-standard deadline approach. The Giants can dream, but it’s probably time for them to roll up their sleeves instead. — Brisbee
Record: 45-62
Last Power Ranking: T-24
Power Ranking a year ago: 2
How they reacted: Bought at the deadline, then collapsed
This year: So much worse
It’s been all downhill since last year’s trade deadline. At this time last year, the Mets were near locks to make the playoffs, and FanGraphs was giving them the fourth-best World Series odds. They traded for a veteran center fielder (Cedric Mullins) and a handful of relievers (Ryan Helsley, Tyler Rogers, Gregory Soto) and completely fell apart. They missed the playoffs, radically reworked their roster in the offseason, and the freefall has continued. So, one year later, the Mets have gone from playoff favorites to no-doubt trade-deadline sellers. And it could be back to the drawing board in November. — Jennings
Record: 45-62
Last Power Ranking: 30
Power Ranking a year ago: 18
How they reacted: Acquired Randal Grichuk, Mike Yastrzemski, Bailey Falter, Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek
This year: Anyone need a lightly-used Michael Wacha?
Here’s the cautionary tale for about one-third of the league. Kansas City was nowhere near the division lead and 3 1/2 games out of a wild-card spot at last year’s deadline. While the Guardians sold and then got blazing hot, the Royals — fresh off a 2024 postseason appearance — added to their roster in moderation … then missed the playoffs by five games.
Going into Monday’s action, there were 10 teams — five in each league — that sat outside the playoff picture, but were within that same 3 1/2-game range of the last wild-card spot. (The Royals are not one of them.)
I feel confident guessing that all of them would prefer to avoid repeating the Royals’ 2025 outcome. — Weaver
Record: 42-65
Last Power Ranking: 28
Power Ranking a year ago: 23
How they reacted: Trading for bullpen help?
This year: Something different, you would hope
Bless these baseball weirdos. Last year, a very wealthy individual — it’s hard to say exactly whom — probably yelled, “We need bullpen help to win the wild card!” and a bunch of patient, doomed baseball people could not convince him otherwise. So they traded prospects for bullpen help. The Angels did not use this bullpen help to win the World Series, as you know.
This year, there isn’t the distant lure of a third wild card to tempt them into doing something silly. They’ll just do the silly things on their own, unprompted, for the love of the game. — Brisbee
Record: 44-62
Last Power Ranking: 27
Power Ranking a year ago: 26
How they reacted: Trading Mason Miller for one of the best prospects in baseball
This year: Selling again
For a while there, it was easy to believe in the Athletics. They had young power throughout the lineup and enough almost-competent arms to keep them afloat until the deadline, when they could target their specific needs. Then they hit a losing skid that just wouldn’t end, and now they have the worst run differential in baseball. Even worse is that a lot of the struggles have been concentrated in some of their long-term core players, such as Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler and Jacob Wilson. They’d have to listen on the first two, at least, but it’s hard to imagine anyone calling.
Expect it to be a quiet deadline for the A’s, then. Veterans out, prospects in. Same as it ever was. Same as it ever was. — Brisbee
Record: 42-65
Last Power Ranking: 29
Power Ranking a year ago: 30
How they reacted: Normal, sensible, seller-type trades
This year: More of the same
This is the second year of a more standard deadline approach for the Rockies, where the front office actually “listens” to “trade offers” from “better teams” in an “effort to get better.” They’re calling it the New Moneyball, folks, and it just might stick.
This might be the year the Rockies trade Denver native Kyle Freeland, which would be bittersweet but probably helpful for everyone involved. They’ll also trade depth pieces from up and down the roster, with Mickey Moniak being the most quietly fascinating trade target of the entire deadline. Whatever the actual deals, the template is obvious: Trade players who won’t be on the next good Rockies team for players who might be. — Brisbee
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Sports
Saltburn-Norton match investigated over alleged ‘finger clicking’ cheating
An amateur cricket match has made global headlines after a fielder was accused of cheating by clicking his fingers to get a wicket.
The North Yorkshire and South Durham Cricket League has started an investigation into a second XI Division 2 game between Saltburn and Norton.
A viral video on social media appears to show a Saltburn fielder clicking his fingers as the ball passes Noman Shabir’s bat before being caught by wicketkeeper Josh Bowes. Saltburn appeal and the umpire gives Shabir out.
It has been suggested that the finger-clicking was designed to trick the umpire into thinking the batter edged the ball.
Saltburn won by 159 runs and are top of Division 2 by 17 points.
“The league have received a formal complaint regarding alleged incidents in a Division Two game on Saturday,” the league said in a statement on X.
“A full investigation has been initiated and until such time as the formal processes are complete no further comment will be made.”
Last week Bowes took eight catches in Saltburn’s 22-run win over Shildon Railway. The men’s Test record for catches by a keeper in an innings is seven.
Bowes leads the league standings with 31 catches, 10 more than any other player.
Rory Cotterill, who captained Middlesbrough second XI during a 29-run defeat by Saltburn last month, responded to a social media post containing the video and alleged two further incidents of cheating by Saltburn in that match.
The original video of the incident has had more than three million views on X, with publications in Australia and New Zealand among those to report it.
The BBC has contacted the league and Saltburn. Norton declined to comment.
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Sports
Nottingham Forest make €20m offer for Royale Union Saint-Gilloise’s Anan Khalaili
Nottingham Forest have had an offer of €20m for Anan Khalaili rejected by Royale Union Saint-Gilloise.
Khalaili, 21, a right-sided wing-back or winger, had previously agreed a deal with Inter Milan in the middle of July, only for that agreement to fall apart at the last minute after the player failed to receive necessary medical clearance.
Bournemouth and Newcastle have also shown interest in the Israeli international this summer.
Forest had been linked with Givairo Read, a 20-year-old at Dutch side Feyenoord. The Dutch defender was another option for Forest’s right-back vacancy, but the Premier League side were unable to agree a deal.
Forest’s offer of a guaranteed €17.5m, plus a further €2.5m in performance and appearance-related bonuses and a small sell-on fee falls some way short of the €28m package that was agreed by Inter two weeks ago and the Belgian club are expected to insist on a similar fee.
Khalaili joined RUSG in the summer of 2024 for €6.5m from Maccabi Haifa. He was part of the side that won the Belgian league title at the end of his first season, ending a 90-year drought for the club, and was then part of the squad that competed in the Champions League the following year, scoring three times in eight appearances.
Khalaili, who has made 16 appearances for the Israel national team, has two years remaining on a contract that runs until 2028.
Analysis
Analysis by The Athletic’s Paul Taylor
Oliver Glasner wants his wingbacks to have a real engine; the ability to get up and down the flank with serious energy and discipline. Pace would also be a very useful asset for those asked to play in the wingback role under the former Crystal Palace head coach.
Glasner also wants to add some physical size and stature to a squad he believes is lacking a little height – and, while he is no giant, Khalaili is 6ft and is taller than some of Forest’s other wingback options.
Khalaili is an intelligent, versatile player who can operate in a number of positions – but who particularly thrives as a right-sided wingback. He is an attack-minded, forward-thinking player who also possesses defensive intensity.
Glasner wants his wingbacks to have a real engine (Photo: Gualter Fatia/Getty Images)
Khalaili turns 22 in September, but is still a player with the potential to improve in stature and value, with the benefit of Premier League experience.
Over the last few seasons, Neco Williams and Ola Aina have evolved into key figures in the full-back position for Forest. The duo are among the side’s most consistent, reliable performers – and both have the attributes to slot in at wingback comfortably.
Forest also have Luca Netz as their only naturally left-footed full-back, who they believe has the potential to improve with experience.
Nicolo Savona possesses the physical size and stature that Glasner would like to see added to the Forest side. But the Italian is also still recovering from the knee injury that finished his season. Khalaili would add competition and cover in a key position under Glasner.
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