Who will finish where in the 2026/27 Premier League season? Check the latest expected and predicted standings, according to the Sky Sports supercomputer.

Our predicted table – updated after every match round – is based on 10,000 simulations and factors including player availability, rest, fixture congestion, historical performance and betting odds.

Keep track of the latest projected standings to see who is tipped to win the title, finish in the top four or suffer relegation.

You can also see the latest expected table – how the current standings should look based on xG – expected goals scored and conceded.

Expected (xG) Premier League table

Predicted final Premier League table

Sky Sports predicted before a ball had been kicked that Arsenal would be crowned champions for a second year running.

Our supercomputer gave them an expected points haul of 85.2 – putting them nearly four points clear of Manchester City. But how have results so far impacted our pre-season verdict? Here’s the final table as predicted today…

Former world No 1 Novak Djokovic won his seventh China Open title without needing a match point in his semi-final and final.

Djokovic, who was awarded a win after his semi-final opponent Daniil Medvedev was disqualified after hitting a spectator with the ball, claimed the 102nd title of his career following the retirement of De Minaur in the final.

De Minaur, who left the ​court for ⁠a medical ⁠timeout after the first set, ‌continued playing with a heavy bandage on ‌his left thigh. But he could not continue after winning ⁠the first game ​of the second ​set.

Djokovic narrowly won ​the first set, ⁠with the match poised at ⁠7-6 (7-3) 0-1 when ​De Minaur retired.

“It’s been 11 years since I last played here,” Djokovic explained during the trophy ceremony. “I always have high expectations of myself and always want to visualise myself with the trophy, particularly here in Beijing, a place where I have never lost. But I was also aware that reality is a little bit different these days.”

The 102nd tour-level title of Djokovic’s career moves him within one of Roger Federer’s 103 for second-most in the Open Era, behind only Jimmy Connors’ 109.

The 39-year-old Serbian also extended his perfect record at the ATP 500 event to 34-0.

It has also significantly strengthened his hopes of returning to the Nitto ATP Finals this year.

The two had gone toe to toe in the first set, targeting the baseline to pressure each other.

De Minaur ⁠almost broke Djokovic in the fifth game but the Serbian ​saved the break point with a full-stretch backhand down ​the sideline.

The Australian held firm but the 27-year-old’s error count increased ​during the tie-break to hand the first set to Djokovic.

An exhausted Djokovic ⁠also needed treatment during the break and the 39-year-old was surprised when De Minaur signalled the end of the match.

“This year has been quite challenging for me: Lots of physical and health issues” Djokovic said.

“I was just trying to find a good feeling on the court. I know that I’m feeling well and striking the ball well, I can compete at the highest level. This week has been evidence of that.”

“I want to say sorry to all the amazing fans who came to watch this match,” said De Minaur, who last retired from an official match in 2017 when he was a teenager. “I didn’t want to finish like this, so I’m really sorry. To my team – those who are here and also back home – thank you. It’s been a great week and I’m sure there’s plenty more to come.”

‘We do not want to see matches end in retirement’

“It’s just the anticlimactic nature of it,” a shocked former British No 1 Johanna Konta told Sky Sports Tennis. “You don’t have the release of emotions.

“Djokovic was the best player this week because you can only ask a player to deal with the challenges that are presented to them and he dealt with the challenges that were ahead of him and that’s all there is to it.

“We do not want to see matches end in retirement and Djokovic himself probably wouldn’t want that either. However, I’m sure he was pleased that he wasn’t necessarily stretched to his physical limits but he will be pleased with the good things that he did do this week.

“I would have been less surprised had Novak Djokovic retired.”

Stream tennis with no contract on NOW and the Sky Sports App. You can watch the WTA/ATP China Open and ATP 1000 Shanghai Masters live on Sky Sports.

UEFA is monitoring developments and will wait until the end of the Premier League’s disciplinary process before deciding whether to take any potential action against Manchester City.

City have been found guilty by an independent commission of breaking the Premier League’s financial rules between 2009 and 2018, including five charges of failing to comply with UEFA’s Financial Fair Play rules.

UEFA financial rules at the time meant clubs were effectively limited to spending what they earned within set break-even requirements.

The independent commission found that City’s owners put in £830m of their own money and disguised it as sponsorship income for nine seasons.

City are appealing against the decision and maintain they have a comprehensive body of irrefutable evidence which will clear their name.

In 2014, City entered into a settlement agreement with UEFA which included a £49m (£32m of which was suspended) fine after they were charged with breaking Financial Fair Play rules.

In 2020, City were found guilty of breaking UEFA’s Financial Fair Play rules, fined €30m (£25.4m) and banned from playing in European competitions for two years.

City appealed to the Court of Arbitration for Sports and the ban was overturned, with CAS ruling that UEFA had not established that City’s owners had disguised equity funding as sponsorship contributions, while other breaches were time-barred.

CAS reduced City’s fine from €30m (£25.4m) to €10m (£8.5m) for failing to co-operate with the UEFA investigation and stated that most of the alleged breaches “were either not established or time barred”.

UEFA has a statute of limitations of five years for financial rule breaches, whereas the Premier League does not have a statute of limitations.

UEFA’s case was triggered by hacked City emails which were published by German magazine Der Spiegel in 2018.

City said the internal documents were “out-of-context materials purportedly hacked or stolen” as part of an “organised and clear attempt to damage the club’s reputation”.

The Premier League investigation had access to documents and evidence which were not available to UEFA when it were building its case against City.

City and UEFA have been contacted for comment.

Analysis: How long will Man City’s appeal take?

Sky Sports News’ Kaveh Solhekol:

“The appeal went in on Thursday at 7pm and so, according to the Premier League’s rules, the appeal has to be done and dusted in 12 weeks from then, which takes us into the week before Christmas.

“The appeal can only last five days and those five days can only be in one block.

“The appeal panel, which has to be a different three-person panel from the original panel, would have 30 days to make up their minds and deliver their judgement. That would take you into the third week of January.

“Now that is the speeded-up timeline which has been introduced into the Premier League’s rules this season.

“Now, Man City could argue that this speeded-up timeline should not apply in this case because this case has been going on for years and this new rule has only been introduced this season. That is something to look out for.”

Details of Man City’s appeal strategy explained

Latest from Sky Sports News’ Lyall Thomas:

Manchester City are likely to argue as part of their appeal that the extra funding for their sponsorship deals came from the Abu Dhabi government rather than the club’s owners, Sky Sports News understands.

City’s lawyers argued during the 2024 hearing that the funding had come from the Abu Dhabi government, but this was rejected by the independent commission, which “concluded it was an explanation that the club had concocted well after the event in an attempt to conceal the realities of the Disguised Funding Scheme”.

However, it is understood City are expected to continue contesting this argument.

Manchester City is majority owned by Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan’s Newton Investment and Development LLC. Sheikh Mansour is also a member of the ruling family of Abu Dhabi and he is the vice-president and deputy prime minister of the United Arab Emirates.

The separation of UAE state investment and those that are private from the Abu Dhabi royal family has long been a subject of debate and criticism.

What did the independent commission find?

• Manchester City arranged “sham” contracts with a number of its commercial partners as part of a “disguised funding scheme” to artificially inflate the club’s revenues by £830m.
• The club filed accounts that concealed the true state of its finances.
• Manchester City were significantly in breach of both the Premier League’s and UEFA’s spending limits and broke “well over 100” Premier League regulations.
• Manchester City failed to co-operate and act in good faith towards the league during the investigation, with three out of four alleged breaches upheld and one charge not proven.
• The commission also said it was “regrettable” that a decision had taken so long to reach, with the hearing having taken place between September and December 2024.

City: Process was not impartial

Following the publication of the guilty verdict on September 29, a Manchester City statement read: “Manchester City FC is both disappointed and surprised by the opinion of the Premier League commission, that has been published today.

“The club is innocent of the accusations made by the Premier League and a comprehensive body of irrefutable evidence exists in support of all of its positions, relating to this case. The club will therefore be relentless, and where necessary proactive, in any and all appropriate regulatory and legal forums.

“The Premier League process remains ongoing, with significant elements uncompleted. Manchester City FC will now pursue the appeal avenues open to it, on the basis that the opinion contains clear material errors, of law, principle and fact, and is unsafe.

“The club has diligently respected due process for eight years on the basis that the Premier League board and executive would behave as an independent, impartial and fair-minded regulator, free from partisan influence.

“The club is obviously restricted in what it can say further until all future proceedings are complete.”

Manchester City’s statement erroneously refers to a Premier League commission. It is an independent commission.

Why Man City’s appeal could drag into 2027

Latest from Sky Sports News’ Kaveh Solhekol and Amar Mehta:

Manchester City’s appeal could drag on into next year if they argue that the process should not be run according to Premier League rules which were introduced for this season.

City have filed their appeal and the new rules about appeals state that this part of the disciplinary process has to be concluded within 12 weeks and the appeal hearing can last no longer than five days.

City’s lawyers could argue that they were charged in 2023 and a hearing was held in 2024 – when the rules about a speeded-up appeals process were not in the Premier League Handbook.

A legal expert told Sky Sports News Manchester City would have a strong case for arguing that the new rules should not apply in this case.

The new rules were introduced to ensure that clubs, where possible, were punished in the same season as relevant rule breaches.