Every year, it’s the same thing. In a display of unadulterated home-league madness, your faithful narrator attempts the impossible — to win a championship after trading my first 10 picks for the overall 1.01. Do I possess an irrational love for Jahmyr Gibbs? Am I slightly off my rocker? Perhaps an eclectic combination of both? The answer to this question, along with many more like it, is a resounding, “Yes!” So, using all my fantasy prowess, along with whatever enlightenment I can find in the deep recesses of my spreadsheets, comes my All-120+ ADP team for fantasy football 2026. Sounds cooler than sleepers, right?
QB: Malik Willis, MIA — ADP 158
Forever fascinated with market machinations and shifts in player pricing, sometimes it’s the moves that don’t happen that interest me most. Enter Willis, Miami’s newest shot caller. Recently receiving a pretty heavy bag from the Dolphins (three years, $67.5 million), he’s still getting treated as if there’s some sort of QB competition or elevated bench risk. There isn’t.
In years past, there’s no telling how high a supremely talented, dual-threat QB like Willis could rise. Don’t believe me? Look no further than Justin Fields’ or Anthony Richardson’s ADP rises in the recent past as proof. If I’m not mistaken, each has gone in the top-50 overall at some point in the past few years. And how different is Malik Willis archetypally? Not much, if at all.
I’d argue the way Willis differentiates is in a positive manner, only adding to my confusion surrounding the price. What do I mean? I actually trust him to throw for a first down on a drive or over 200 yards in a game! Granted, while the environment is different and the sample is small, I’d contend all of that and more is baked into the low, low price. During a two-week stretch as a starter last year in Green Bay, Willis ranked as the QB6 … and it wasn’t on the back of running alone. Again, the data set is tiny, but it’s all we have. That also doesn’t take away from the fact that Willis finished top 3 in expected points added (EPA) per attempt (+0.85), completion rate (84.4%), yards per attempt (12.8), off-target rate (3.4%) and first down rate (53.1%). Not too shabby.
Maybe it’s the surrounding contextual environment in Miami, the departure of Mike McDaniel, or the perception of QB positional depth (none of which are untrue); I still can’t wrap my mind around the price. I can’t remember another time in my fantasy career that we’re being afforded such a clear shot at a repeatable top-eight weekly finish from the QB21. Twenty quarterbacks are better?!? No way. Give me Willis’ rushing upside with some maturity baked in for my favorite fantasy shot caller of the double-digit rounds.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) December 21, 2025
RB: Chris Rodriguez, JAX — ADP 136
Thank goodness I already swung a deal for Jahmyr Gibbs, since it’s borderline impossible to build a viable fantasy squad without a running back in the top-120 picks. I’d go so far as to argue it’s never been tougher without an RB in the first four rounds, but that’s another story for a different day. Nevertheless, once pickings get slim, I shift sole focus to high-value touches. Again, in this exercise there’s no waiting for handcuffs or injury-related opportunities — we need production right out of the box.
There’s been lots of back-and-forth this summer in analytical circles trying to hash out Jacksonville’s backfield situation. My answer’s been consistent and simple. Why not both? If you’re buying the Liam Coen uberkind hype (like I am) and believe there’s a huge step forward coming for an already exciting offense (like I do), it’s easy as pie. Rodriguez could and should have standalone value right out of the gate, with potential to hang a David Montgomery-esque RB2 finish even as a complement in his own backfield.
The Jaguars’ acquisition of Rodriguez was no happenstance — he played under Liam Coen at the University of Kentucky in what was incidentally his best season at any level (225 rushes, 1,379 yards, 9 touchdowns). At 6-foot-0, 217 lbs, Rodriguez archetypes perfectly as a short-yardage runner, with well above-average career metrics for the role, especially when considering he faced heavy boxes in three-quarters of snaps (4.6 yards/attempt, +0.04 EPA/carry, 50% success, 12.6% ≤0 yd rush rate). If you’re bullish on the Jags’ offense in 2026, Rodriguez is holding down the pole position for a lion’s share of goal-to-go carries.
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WR: Romeo Doubs, NE — ADP 122
What if I told you that after pick 120 there’s an every-down wide receiver available on a top-10 scoring offense from 2025, with the highest EPA/dropback and yards per pass attempt? That’s precisely the case with brand new Patriot Doubs, coming off a productive season with Green Bay as the WR36. For reference, he’s currently being drafted as the WR48. Why? Beats me. Keep in mind, all that output happened on just 410 routes amidst a massive target logjam. Now he’s off to New England to serve as the Pats’ clear-cut WR2, running intermediate routes underneath A.J. Brown, who’s getting the majority of any defense’s attention. Sounds good.
For starters, even in somewhat of a shared role, Doubs posted strong efficiency stats in 2025 (20.7% target/route, 1.77 yards/route, 10.0 routes/1st Down). Admittedly, the odds for a WR1 breakout are slim to none, but that’s all figured into draft cost. Doubs can do a little bit of everything — succeed against man or zone coverage, plus earn deep looks as well as represent a legitimate end zone threat. And as I mentioned before, it’s not like he’s headed to a bad situation either. I’m struggling to wrap my mind around the current price tag, but I’m also not letting that stop me from drafting Doubs aggressively.
WR: Matthew Golden, GB — ADP 135
Another player set to benefit from the aforementioned Doubs signing is Green Bay’s 2025 first-round selection, Golden. Maybe it was the zero regular season TDs scored, but I’m frankly unsure if there’s another player whose narrative represents such disparity from the spreadsheets. Obviously, last year’s output isn’t what drafters signed up for, but we’ve jumped the ADP shark on a projected every-down player in a good situation.
The Packers’ 23rd overall pick in 2025 played most frequently in the first seven weeks of the season before Christian Watson returned, posting decent rookie WR efficiency numbers (16.0% target/route, 1.73 yards/route). It’s especially encouraging given the steep NFL learning curve, plus five different wideouts simultaneously earning double-digit route participation rates. Green Bay has been vocal this offseason about consolidating their offensive scheme, which could, of course, be a lie. However, there’s only honesty found in roster moves, and the runway is clearing 30 routes a game for one of the league’s fastest players.
WR: Jayden Higgins, HOU — ADP 140
The further we get from Pick 120, the more faith-based our arguments get. Sticking with the running theme of post-hype rookie WRs, few players generated more positive camp buzz this summer than Higgins. The 34th overall pick in last year’s draft logged a full, healthy season for the Texans, which might be the nicest thing I have to say based purely on the data. Hold on, it gets better.
It’s no secret that Houston’s offense completely cratered in 2025 due to injuries and mismanagement of the offensive line, something presumedly addressed by signing Ed Ingram and Wyatt Teller in free agency. The Texans weren’t done making moves there, further bolstering the trenches with a first-round pick out of Georgia Tech, Keylan Rutledge. Ten pundits will give you 11 different answers on their O-line predictions because no one really knows, but I’m remaining optimistic on the rebuild. Adding an actual NFL-quality running back in David Montgomery won’t hurt either.
Not to zoom in too close on a small sample, but if you’re doing that, make sure it’s impactful. And nothing’s more high leverage than the NFL playoffs, where Houston turned to Higgins when they needed him most. During those two games, Higgins averaged 32 routes per contest, with healthy underlying efficiency metrics (21.9% target/route, 1.53 yards/route) and strong splits against man or zone. All we need is that small step forward from Houston as a whole to shoot Higgins into the backend WR3 conversation. Get that from the WR55, and you’re cooking with fantasy Crisco.
TE: Colby Parkinson, LAR — ADP 190
Tempted as I was to chase those chronically online narratives surrounding Terrance Ferguson’s ascent into the Rams’ primary slot receiver role, this squad needs bankable production now. And while I’m absolutely lending credence to valuing the Rams’ use of multiple tight end sets, the far safer profit for my money rests with Parkinson. Off to a slow start in 2025 due to injury, Parkinson’s numbers after Week 9 stand out against the field so starkly, it’s truly hard to imagine he’s going off the board as the TE31.
Don’t take my word for it — the numbers don’t lie. The longer I look at this stuff, the less I understand why Parkinson’s not going closer to T.J. Hockenson, somewhere in the 140s. Pretend exercise or not, Parkinson should be a must-circle type target, especially if you waited on the position. Los Angeles just led the league in scoring, offensive yards and passing touchdowns — honestly, I don’t get it.
Of 35 TEs with +25 targets after Week 9 (not some cherry-picked sample, mind you), Colby Parkinson ranked …
| Metric |
Numbers |
Rank |
|
Total PPR Points
|
119
|
6
|
|
PPR Per Game
|
11.9
|
7
|
|
PPR Points Per Target
|
0.59
|
2
|
|
PPR Points Per Route
|
2.58
|
1
|
|
Targets Per Route
|
23.90%
|
6
|
|
Yards Per Route
|
1.74
|
13
|
|
Yards After Catch Per Reception
|
6.7
|
5
|
|
Routes Per First Down
|
9.6
|
5
|
|
+20-yard TD
|
2
|
T-1
|
|
Red Zone Targets
|
17
|
2
|
Honorable Mentions — Best of the rest
QB: Tyler Shough, NO — ADP 147
RB: Dylan Sampson, CLE — ADP 158
WR: De’Zhaun Stribling, SF — ADP 140
WR: Adonai Mitchell, NYJ — ADP 165
TE: Terrance Ferguson, LAR — ADP 179
